Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
26%December 31
- June 30, 202726%▼ 5
- December 3126%
Install
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly? (Before 2030)
The odds
49%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 48% on Oct 20, 49% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49% | ▲ 1 | 46¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 32.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Amazon
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
Sep 6, 2027even chance by
- Before Jan 1, 202720%▲ 3
- Before Apr 1, 202727%▲ 8
- Before Jul 1, 202746%▼ 3
2 more
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Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
28%chance
Who will be arrested in 2026?
28%Ilhan Omar
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22 more
- James Clapper9%▼ 2
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- Susan Rice6%
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- Tom Homan5%
- Lee Jun-seok5%
- Loretta Lynch5%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
- Brandon Johnson4%
- Hillary Clinton4%
- Bill Clinton3%
- Pam Bondi3%▼ 1
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- Joe Biden3%
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- Barack Obama2%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.