Predictions › Culture odds Every Movies & box office market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
750 open markets · $1.1M traded today Trending movies & box office markets
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 95% Avengers: Doomsday 4% Dune: Messiah <1% Wicked: For Good <1% 10 more Wuthering Heights <1% Scream 7 <1% Michael <1% Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu <1% Toy Story 5 <1% The Odyssey <1% The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1% Project Hail Mary <1% The Super Mario Galaxy Movie <1% Jumanji 3 <1%
Avengers: Doomsday 56% ▼ 1 Spider-Man: Brand New Day 41% ▼ 3 The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1% Dune: Messiah <1%
No Bond chosen 33% ▼ 5 Jack Lowden 26% ▼ 1 Callum Turner 17% ▼ 1 Jack Barton 6% ▲ 1 20 more Josh O'Connor 5% ▲ 2 Jacob Elordi 4% Tom Francis 3% ▲ 2 Jack O'Connell 2% Paul Mescal 2% ▲ 1 Tom Hardy 1% Harris Dickinson 1% Henry Cavill <1% Aaron Taylor-Johnson <1% Richard Madden <1% James Norton <1% Theo James <1% Tom Holland <1% Timothee Chalamet <1% Pierce Brosnan <1% Robert James-Collier <1% Michael B Jordan <1% Nicholas Galitzine <1% Jonathan Bailey <1% Tom Blyth <1%
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? 94% ▼ 1 Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? 93% ▲ 1 Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? 91% Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? 89% 15 more Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? 79% Benedict Wong as Wong? 78% ▲ 1 Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? 78% ▲ 1 Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? 74% ▲ 1 Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? 74% ▼ 1 Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts? 61% ▲ 2 Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez? 55% ▲ 1 Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? 54% ▼ 1 Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? 49% ▼ 2 Tom Holland as Spider-Man? 44% ▲ 3 Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? 30% Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? 30% ▲ 1 Halle Berry as Storm? 22% Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? 14% ▲ 1 Jonathan Majors as Kang? 12% ▲ 1
Callum Turner 36% Jack Lowden 32% ▼ 2 Josh O'Connor 26% ▲ 5 Jack O'Connell 11% ▼ 1 27 more Jack Barton 9% ▲ 1 Harris Dickinson 6% ▲ 1 Jacob Elordi 6% Tom Francis 5% ▼ 1 Nicholas Hoult 5% ▲ 2 Paul Mescal 5% ▲ 2 Aaron Taylor-Johnson 4% ▲ 1 Robert Pattinson 4% ▼ 1 Henry Cavill 4% Scott Rose-Marsh 3% ▲ 1 James Norton 3% Damson Idris 3% ▼ 1 Theo James 3% George MacKay 3% ▼ 3 Aaron Pierre 2% ▼ 1 Tom Hardy 2% Idris Elba 2% ▼ 1 Richard Madden 2% Regé-Jean Page 2% Tom Holland 2% Henry Ashton 2% Tom Blyth 2% Charlie Hunnam 1% Cillian Murphy 1% ▼ 1 Jonathan Bailey 1% Nicholas Galitzine 1% Luke Evans 1%
40 100
Median 97.2 Middle half 95.8 – 98.2
Obsession 43% ▼ 4 The Odyssey 34% ▼ 1 Spider-Man: Brand New Day 11% ▼ 1 Backrooms 5% 18 more Avengers: Doomsday 3% ▲ 1 Scream 7 <1% ▼ 1 Wuthering Heights <1% ▼ 1 Michael <1% ▼ 2 Supergirl <1% Wicked: For Good <1% Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu <1% Toy Story 5 <1% The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1% Dune: Messiah <1% Project Hail Mary <1% The Super Mario Galaxy Movie <1% Jumanji 3 <1% Minions & Monsters <1% Shrek 5 <1% Moana <1% The Devil Wears Prada 2 <1% Avatar: Fire and Ash <1%
40 100
Median 85.1 Middle half 73.8 – 91.3
140.00M 210.00M
Median 155.24M Middle half 152.62M – 157.87M
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 58% ▲ 2 Avengers: Doomsday 41% ▼ 2 Toy Story 5 <1% The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1% 1 more
40 99
Median 93.1 Middle half 91.8 – 94.2
0 95
Median 28.5 Middle half 23.6 – 34.6
20.00M 50.00M
Median 32.50M Middle half 31.24M – 33.75M
6.00M 18.00M
Median 7.00M Middle half 6.50M – 7.50M
40 95
Median 65.1 Middle half 58.4 – 71.8
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine 94% ▼ 1 Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man 93% ▲ 1 Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool 93% ▼ 1 Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange 86% ▼ 1 16 more Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop 81% ▼ 5 Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau 80% Benedict Wong as Wong 80% ▲ 2 Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel 77% ▲ 3 Mark Ruffalo as Hulk 70% ▼ 2 Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts 64% ▼ 5 Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch 59% ▼ 4 Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan 52% ▼ 3 Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez 51% ▼ 4 Brie Larson as Captain Marvel 49% Tom Holland as Spider-Man 38% ▼ 4 Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine 32% Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man 30% Halle Berry as Storm 17% Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp 10% ▲ 1 Jonathan Majors as Kang 9%
40 100
Median 89.9 Middle half 82.5 – 93.7
15 95
Median 47.2 Middle half 32.3 – 58.2
40 95
Median 75.2 Middle half 65.3 – 83.2
Love Is Blind: Boston 99% ▲ 3 East of Eden: Limited Series 1% ▼ 2 Tyson: Limited Series <1% Below: Limited Series <1% 3 more Mojo Brookzz: I Know You Lying <1% The Diplomat: Season 4 <1% ▼ 1 Instadocs: AI Gone Wild <1%
3.00M 9.00M
Median 7.50M Middle half 7.25M – 7.75M
21.00M 39.00M
Median 31.50M Middle half 30.75M – 32.25M
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .
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