Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
64%Avengers: Doomsday
- Avengers: Doomsday64%▲ 9
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day35%▼ 8
- The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping<1%
1 more
- Dune: Messiah<1%
Install
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
The odds
63%Spider-Man: Brand New Day
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day63%▲ 7
- Avengers: Doomsday36%▼ 6
- Toy Story 5<1%
- The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping<1%
- Dune: Messiah<1%
How the odds have moved
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 59% on Oct 20, 63% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 26, 11 PM ETSpider-Man: Brand New Day: 57% → 65%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETSpider-Man: Brand New Day: 59% → 54%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 63% | ▲ 7 | 62¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | $92.6K |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 36% | ▼ 6 | 35¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | $89.3K |
| Toy Story 5 | <1% | 0¢ | $2.7K | |||
| The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping | <1% | 0¢ | $482 | |||
| Dune: Messiah | <1% | 0¢ | $8.3K | |||
| The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | <1% | 0¢ | $1.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: box office
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China Box Office: ‘Resident Evil’ Stays at No. 1 as Market Hits Fall LullConstantin Film and Sony Pictures’ horror reboot “Resident Evil” secured the top spot at the mainland China box office for the third consecutive weekend, grossing RMB37.6 million ($5.6 million) over the Oct. 23–25 frame, according to data… -
Box Office Global: 'Clayface' $43M WW Opening Second No. 1 Skydance'Clayface' opened to $43M WW delivering the new Paramount Warner Bros merger its second No. 1 back-to-back weekend win. Editorial Director/Box Office Editor Services to share this page. The newly combined Paramount-Warner Bros merger (aka… -
How ‘You Can See Everything’ Became a Surprise Box Office Hit (and Likely One of the Biggest Docs of All Time)“You Can See Everything” has remained a must-see at the box office, collecting a remarkable $19.5 million from 2,655 theaters in its second weekend — a notable increase in ticket sales from its sizable opening. A24’s buzzy documentary… -
Korea Box Office: Anime Phenomenon ‘Chiikawa’ Remains Unstoppable as Yeon Sang-ho Thriller ‘Paradise Lost’ DebutsJapanese animated sensation “Chiikawa the Movie: The Secret of the Mermaid Island” maintained a commanding grip on the South Korean box office over the weekend of Oct. 23–25, capturing nearly 45% of nationwide ticket revenue in its fourth… -
Box Office: ‘You Can See Everything’ Scores $19.5 Million in Huge Second Weekend, ‘Clayface’ Leads With $24 Million DebutJust when you thought you’d seen everything… A three-hour documentary (in its second weekend of release) has earned almost as much as a new comic-book adaptation at the domestic box office. Although Warner Bros. and DC’s R-rated “Clayface”… -
Elizabeth Holmes film puts up a fight against 'Clayface' at box officeA movie set in the world of Batman and a three-hour documentary about Elizabeth Holmes went head-to-head at the box office this weekend, and it turned out to be a closer contest than expected. "Clayface," a body-horror movie from DC… -
‘You Can See Everything’ Eyes $20M Second Weekend as ‘Clayface’ Leads Box OfficeNewcomer 'Wildwood' will likely occupy third place for the frame that also sees the arrivals of 'Wicker' and 'Klara and the Sun.' Clayface rolls into the box office fray but faces competition from the second weekend of You Can See… -
Box Office: ‘Clayface’ Lands at No. 1 with $10.4 Million Debut, ‘You Can See Everything’ Adds $6.14 Million on FridayClayface might have been a considerably nicher choice for a feature film than DC’s “Supergirl” and “Superman,” but that didn’t stop audiences from showing out to catch the Batman supervillain’s gory, nightmare-inducing origin story at the… -
Box Office: ‘Clayface’ Makes $3.5 Million in PreviewsOne of Batman’s creepiest villains is descending upon the box office this weekend. Warner Bros. and DC Studios’ “Clayface” made $3.5 million in Thursday previews at the box office, and it’ll face some ... Box Office: ‘Clayface’ Makes $3.5… -
John Farnham Beats Taika Waititi at Australian Box OfficeAustralians have again flocked to cinemas to watch the encore screening of the recent John Farnham tribute concert. The return of “The Songs of John Farnham: A Living Legend – The Celebration Concert“, which took place at Melbourne’s Rod… -
Laika's 'Wildwood' cracks the box office with a mature animationAudiences for animated movies are proving to be more diverse than the industry expected. Over the weekend, Laika, the Oscar-nominated studio behind movies like “Coraline” and “ParaNorman,” released its newest feature film “Wildwood.” The… -
‘Clayface’ Soaks Up $3.5M in Box Office Previews as ‘You Can See Everything’ Expands'Wicker,' 'Wildwood' and 'Klara and the Sun' are among this weekend's arrivals. Clayface is rolling into theaters this weekend with an array of other new pre-Halloween titles as You Can See Everything expands after a much-discussed box…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions