Install
Next James Bond actor?
The odds
- No Bond chosen31%▲ 12
- Jack Lowden29%▼ 9
- Callum Turner19%▲ 3
- Josh O'Connor6%▼ 2
- Jacob Elordi5%▼ 1
- James Norton4%▼ 1
- Jack Barton2%▼ 1
- Tom Francis2%▼ 1
- Henry Cavill1%
- Jack O'Connell<1%▼ 1
- Richard Madden<1%
- Harris Dickinson<1%▼ 1
12 more
- Paul Mescal<1%
- Theo James<1%
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson<1%
- Tom Hardy<1%
- Pierce Brosnan<1%
- Tom Holland<1%
- Robert James-Collier<1%
- Timothee Chalamet<1%
- Michael B Jordan<1%
- Nicholas Galitzine<1%
- Jonathan Bailey<1%
- Tom Blyth<1%
How the odds have moved
No Bond chosen: 36% on Oct 20, 31% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 25, 5 PM ETNo Bond chosen: 19% → 31%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Bond chosen | 31% | ▲ 12 | 30¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | $616K |
| Jack Lowden | 29% | ▼ 9 | 26¢ | 33¢ | $3.06 | $293K |
| Callum Turner | 19% | ▲ 3 | 18¢ | 20¢ | $5.13 | $122K |
| Josh O'Connor | 6% | ▼ 2 | 5¢ | 6¢ | $17.24 | $37.3K |
| Jacob Elordi | 5% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 8¢ | $13.33 | $46.1K |
| James Norton | 4% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 8¢ | $13.16 | $38.3K |
| Jack Barton | 2% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $38.46 | $78.5K |
| Tom Francis | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $35.71 | $32.3K |
| Henry Cavill | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $30.8K | ||
| Jack O'Connell | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 1¢ | $46.5K | |
| Richard Madden | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $28.4K | ||
| Harris Dickinson | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $35.9K | |
| Paul Mescal | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $26.5K | ||
| Theo James | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $45K | ||
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson | <1% | 0¢ | $37.7K | |||
| Tom Hardy | <1% | 0¢ | $27.3K | |||
| Pierce Brosnan | <1% | 0¢ | $15.9K | |||
| Tom Holland | <1% | 0¢ | $18.3K | |||
| Robert James-Collier | <1% | 0¢ | $8.7K | |||
| Timothee Chalamet | <1% | 0¢ | $18.4K | |||
| Michael B Jordan | <1% | 0¢ | $12.5K | |||
| Nicholas Galitzine | <1% | 0¢ | $13.4K | |||
| Jonathan Bailey | <1% | 0¢ | $13.8K | |||
| Tom Blyth | <1% | 0¢ | $14.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: James Bond, Jack Lowden, Callum Turner
Search ›-
Callum Turner, Jack Lowden, Josh O’Connor Emerge As Finalists For James Bond RoleCallum Turner, Jack Lowden, Josh O’Connor has reportedly join final auditions to replace Daniel Craig, as producers assess contenders for the iconic 007 role. Actors Callum Turner, Jack Lowden and Josh O’Connor are among the names… -
James Bond final screen tests this week: Callum Turner, Jack Lowden among top contendersFriday October 23, 2026 Callum Turner and Jack Lowden are on the shortlist of candidates being considered for the role of James Bond, with final screen tests for the next 007 film expected to begin this week. According to sources, the… -
Callum Turner and Jack Lowden reach James Bond screen test round - reportCallum Turner and Jack Lowden have reportedly reached the last stage of the James Bond audition process.The One Night Only actor and Slow Horses star are reportedly part of a small group of actors who will imminently screen test for the… -
Who will be the next James Bond? – The LatestThe search for the next James Bond may be in the final stages, with screen tests reportedly taking place this weekend. Callum Turner, Jack Lowden and Josh O’Connor are among the actors thought to be in the running for the role. So who is… -
The endless James Bond search is worse than a presidential election cycleUsing history as a guide, next month somebody will likely announce their candidacy for the US presidency, kicking off a long, exhausting, two-year race to the White House. But that election cycle will be a brisk and happy stroll compared… -
James Bond screen tests set to take place this weekend and Callum Turner, Slow Horses star Jack Lowden and one unnamed actor are all in the running as Jacob Elordi loses final auditionThe race to become the next James Bond has reportedly narrowed it down to three actors, with screen tests set for this weekend. Bosses at Amazon MGM Studios have been hunting for the next 007 to replace Daniel Craig after he hung up his… -
Final James Bond Screen Tests Imminent as Jack Lowden, Callum Turner and Josh O’Connor Make the CutThe search for the next James Bond is heating up as four finalists have made it to the final round. According to insiders, Jack “Slow Horses” breakout Jack Lowden, Callum Turner and Josh O’Connor have test offers along with unknown actor… -
Final James Bond screen tests to take place this weekend, reports sayCallum Turner and Jack Lowden are both thought to be part of the final auditions to play James Bond Callum Turner, Jack Lowden and Josh O'Connor are among the actors thought to be taking part in final auditions to play James Bond… -
Jack Lowden, Callum Turner, & Josh O’Connor Among James Bond Finalists; Screen Tests Start This Weekend?Carrie’ Renewed For Season 2 At Prime Video As Mike Flanagan & Stephen King Plan To Go Beyond Prom Night ‘Poison Ivy’: ‘The Penguin’ Showrunner Lauren LeFranc In Talks To Produce New DC TV Series ‘The Lord Of The Rings: The Rings Of… -
James Bond Casting Update: Jack Lowden, Callum Turner And Josh O’Connor Among Finalists For 007 Role – Here’s What To KnowThe race to become the next James Bond appears to be entering its final stage, with Amazon MGM Studios preparing to test a shortlist of actors for the iconic spy role. After months of auditions, meetings and discussions, the studio is… -
I expect you to cry: what the James Bond actors may face at the final auditionJack Lowden, Callum Turner and Josh O’Connor are rumoured to be the final candidates taking screentests this weekend. So how can they best prepare? And who is likely to triumph? This weekend, the identity of the next James Bond is finally… -
Callum Turner in major James Bond hint as he lands deal with major luxury fashion brand beloved by creator Ian FlemingCALLUM Turner’s bid to bag the role of James Bond has had a boost — he’s advertising luggage for a fashion brand with links to the films. The 36-year-old actor is the face of Louis Vuitton’s new trunk collection. Bond author Ian Fleming…
Related markets
All movies & box office ›"Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office
Klara and the Sun · Rotten Tomatoes score
Wildwood · Rotten Tomatoes score
The Cat in the Hat · Rotten Tomatoes score
Ebenezer · Rotten Tomatoes score
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions