Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

Polymarket Mentions › Posts & tweets Closes Nov 1 · $1.4K today · $397K traded · $22.6K at stake · prices read 10 min ago

The odds

1,019median
8401,039
Median 1,019Middle half 1,009 – 1,029

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
<20 <1% 0¢ $535
20-39 <1% 0¢ $445
40-59 <1% 0¢ $521
60-79 <1% 0¢ $536
80-99 <1% 0¢ $531
100-119 <1% 0¢ $1.5K
120-139 <1% 0¢ $1.5K
140-159 <1% 0¢ $5.3K
160-179 <1% 0¢ $1.4K
180-199 <1% 0¢ $1.5K
200-219 <1% 0¢ $1.6K
220-239 <1% 0¢ $4.6K
240-259 <1% 0¢ $2.4K
260-279 <1% 0¢ $2.7K
280-299 <1% 0¢ $1.6K
300-319 <1% 0¢ $690
320-339 <1% 0¢ $690
340-359 <1% 0¢ $688
360-379 <1% 0¢ $696
380-399 <1% 0¢ $515
400-419 <1% 0¢ $2.4K
420-439 <1% 0¢ $4.7K
440-459 <1% 0¢ $3.1K
460-479 <1% 0¢ $5.8K
480-499 <1% 0¢ $8.3K
500-519 <1% 0¢ $5.4K
520-539 <1% 0¢ $5.8K
540-559 <1% 0¢ $5.5K
560-579 <1% 0¢ $6.5K
580-599 <1% 0¢ $6.3K
600-619 <1% 0¢ $6.9K
620-639 <1% 0¢ $5.1K
640-659 <1% 0¢ $5.4K
660-679 <1% 0¢ $4.1K
680-699 <1% 0¢ $8.6K
700-719 <1% 0¢ $14.2K
720-739 <1% 0¢ $8K
740-759 <1% 0¢ $5.3K
760-779 <1% 0¢ $7.9K
780-799 <1% 0¢ $17.4K
800-839 <1% 0¢ $28.5K
840-879 <1% 0¢ $25.3K
880-919 <1% 0¢ $40.2K
920-959 <1% 0¢ $25.6K
960-999 1% ▼ 1 1¢ 1¢ $33.2K
1000+ 99% 97¢ 99¢ $1.01 $77.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Elon Musk, Musk

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.