Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Feb 6, 2027 · $276 today · $23K traded · $2.8K at stake · prices read 40 min ago

The odds

44%Ahmed Galadima
  • Ahmed Galadima44%▲ 10
  • Maurice Vunobolki26%▼ 8
  • Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu18%
  • Omar Suleiman5%
  • Christopher Nathaniel1%

How the odds have moved

Ahmed Galadima: 41% on Oct 20, 44% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 27, 1 PM ETAhmed Galadima: 33% → 44%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 21, 7 PM ETAhmed Galadima: 41% → 32%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Ahmed Galadima 44% ▲ 10 40¢ 47¢ $2.13 $17.5K
Maurice Vunobolki 26% ▼ 8 6¢ 47¢ $2.15 $2.3K
Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu 18% 12¢ 24¢ $4.12 $1.6K
Omar Suleiman 5% 1¢ 9¢ $11.36 $899
Christopher Nathaniel 1% 1¢ 2¢ $47.62 $772

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Nigeria Governor, Adamawa, Ahmed Galadima

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  • Adamawa APC gov candidate welcomes 21 defecting LG chairmenPunch Newspapers · 5 days agoThe All Progressives Congress governorship candidate in Adamawa State, Ahmed Galadima, has welcomed the defection of the state’s 21 local government chairmen and 226 councillors from the Peoples Democratic Party to the APC. Galadima…
  • Wike Denies Endorsing Adamawa LP Guber CandidateLEADERSHIP Newspapers · 3 days agoMinister of the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Nyesom Wike, has denied endorsing the Labour Party (LP) governorship candidate in Adamawa State, Senator Ishaku Abbo, describing a social media report claiming otherwise as “fake.” Wike…
  • Wike Denies Endorsing LP Governorship Candidate in AdamawaIndependent Newspaper Nigeria · 4 days agoThe Minister of the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Barr. Nyesom Wike, has dismissed as fake a social media report claiming that he endorsed the Labour Party (LP) governorship candidate in Adamawa State, Senator Ishaku Abbo. Wike, through…
  • 2027: Wike Speaks On Endorsing Adamawa LP CandidateNew Telegraph · 4 days agoNyesom Wike, Minister of the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), has dismissed the claims that he endorsed the governorship ambition of Senator Ishaku Abbo, the Labour Party (LP) governorship candidate in Adamawa State. In a statement…
  • Wike debunks endorsement of Adamawa LP Guber candidate, AbboThe Sun Nigeria · 4 days ago23 October 2026 4:57 pm WAT Minister of the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Nyesom Wike Minister of the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Nyesom Wike, has debunked a social media report claiming that he endorsed the Labour Party (LP)…
  • Adamawa Assembly Considers Constitution Amendment BillLEADERSHIP Newspapers · 5 days agoThe Adamawa State House of Assembly has considered the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, 1999 (Sixth Alteration) Bill, 2026, adopting 24 out of its 26 clauses aimed at providing a constitutional framework for the…
  • Fulani Community Endorses Tangwami, APC Candidates in AdamawaThe NewsPointer · 5 days agoDriving the News, Leading the Nation. 2027: Group Queries INEC Over Gov Candidates’ List The endorsement was announced at a gathering where community members shared goro (kola nut), a traditional gesture associated with peace, friendship…
  • Tinubu wouldn’t have brought in Muri-Okunola had Gbajabiamila been an effective CoS — Laolu Akande |The Eagle Online · 3 days agoFormer presidential aide, Laolu Akande, has attributed President Bola Tinubu’s decision to bring Hakeem Muri-Okunola into the Presidency to what he described as the failure of Chief of Staff Femi Gbajabiamila to perform his duties…
  • Adamawa APC guber candidate welcomes 21 defecting LG chairmen@Thecitizenng · 5 days agoGaladima described the development as a significant boost to the party’s grassroots presence ahead of the 2027 general elections. In a statement issued on Thursday by his media aide, Adamu Sambo, the APC candidate said the decision…
  • CRC Reaffirms Support For Humanitarian Coordination In AdamawaLEADERSHIP Newspapers · 5 days agoThe International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) has reaffirmed its commitment to strengthening humanitarian coordination in Adamawa State following a courtesy visit to the State Commissioner for Reconstruction, Rehabilitation…
  • Adamawa APC Celebrates as 21 Council Chairmen and 226 Councillors Dump PDPTori.ng · 5 days agoHe said it will strengthen the party's grassroots support ahead of the 2027 general elections. In a statement issued on Thursday through his media aide, Adamu Sambo, Galadima said the defectors made a wise choice. He said they understood…
  • NPC Seeks Unified System For Marriage, Divorce Registration As N’ east Zonal Consultation Opens In AdamawaTHISDAYLIVE · 5 days agoDaji Sani in Yola The National Population Commission (NPC) has commenced moves to harmonize marriage and divorce registration in Nigeria with the opening of the North-East Zonal Consultation on the Draft Harmonized Protocol for Marriage…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions