Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout

Polymarket Elections › Senate Closes Nov 3 · $1.3K today · $22.6K traded · $1.7K at stake · prices read just now

The odds

2.05Mmedian

1.40M2.80M

Median 2.05MMiddle half 1.71M – 2.29M

How the odds have moved

Median: 2.12M on Oct 20, 2.05M now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
<1.6M	18%	▲ 6	10¢	30¢	$3.37	$2.3K
1.6M-1.8M	12%	▲ 2	13¢	13¢	$7.52	$2.7K
1.8M-2M	13%	▲ 3	12¢	17¢	$6.06	$5.5K
2M-2.2M	24%	▲ 3	15¢	36¢	$2.78	$5.8K
2.2M-2.4M	16%	▼ 8	11¢	23¢	$4.35	$2.4K
2.4M-2.6M	9%	▲ 2	8¢	12¢	$8.26	$1.6K
2.6M+	7%	▲ 1	5¢	10¢	$9.90	$2.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Tennessee Senate

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Candidates give case for Tenn. Senate District 31 seat@WMCActionNews5 · 4 days agoThe race for Tennessee Senate District 31 features incumbent Republican Brent Taylor and Democratic challenger David Weatherspoon presenting contrasting backgrounds and platforms. MEMPHIS, Tenn. (WMC) - The race for Tennessee Senate…
Williamson, Inc. is driving the conversation with transportation issues at Policy TalksWilliamson Herald · 4 days agoSPRING HILL — On Monday, Oct. 19, the Spring Hill Board of Mayor and Aldermen unanimously passed Resolution 26-302, to proceed with plans for an interlocal wastewater agreement with the City of Columbia. MURFREESBORO – For the first time…
Two polls, two different pictures of Tennessee governor's racejohnsoncitypress.com · 5 days agoJohnson City Press NASHVILLE Ã¢ÂÂ Two polls released Tuesday are showing vastly different results in who Tennesseans support for Tennessee's next governor The first, conducted by Republican-heavy pollster Spry Strategies, shows U.S…
Sen. Janice Bowling Pushes Back Against Possible Removal From Republican CaucusThunder Radio · 6 days agoState Sen. Janice Bowling of Tullahoma is pushing back against discussions about removing her from the Tennessee Senate Republican Caucus after she endorsed an independent candidate for governor. Bowling, who represents Coffee County and…
Early Voting Kicks Off October 14Sumner County Source · 13 days agoTennessee voters will head to the polls this week for the November 3 State and Federal General Election. Here’s what you need to know. Primary elections will be held for Governor, U.S. Senate, U.S. House, Tennessee Senate (odd-numbered…
Charlane Oliver Standing on Her DeskNashville Scene · 18 days agoÂ is the Nashville Sceneâs 2026 Writersâ Choice forÂ Best Act of Protest in Nashville, for the state senator's unprecedented move beyond dissent. Best Act of Protest in Nashville 2026:Ã Charlane Oliver Standing on Her DeskDuring…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesNov 3, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$22.6K

Today$1.3K

This week$4.2K

At stake$1.7K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the officia

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions