Texas Senate winner? (2026)
66%James Talarico
- James Talarico66%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton35%▼ 1
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Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout
The odds
1.61Mmedian
1.10M1.90M
Median 1.61MMiddle half 1.46M – 1.74M
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.58M on Oct 20, 1.61M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1.2M | 7% | ▲ 2 | 6¢ | 7¢ | $13.70 | $2.5K |
| 1.2M-1.3M | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $35.71 | $503 | |
| 1.3M-1.4M | 8% | ▼ 10 | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.55 | $1.5K |
| 1.4M-1.5M | 14% | ▼ 2 | 13¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | $1.2K |
| 1.5M-1.6M | 17% | ▲ 1 | 16¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | $2.7K |
| 1.6M-1.7M | 18% | ▲ 1 | 16¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | $3.1K |
| 1.7M-1.8M | 27% | 25¢ | 27¢ | $3.69 | $2K | |
| 1.8M+ | 8% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.20 | $1.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kentucky Senate
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Trump Seethes That ‘Fox is Doing Little to Help’ Republicans Win the Election — Hours After Appearing on the Network for a Fawning InterviewPresident Donald Trump seethed on Sunday over Fox News giving air time to Democrats in the lead-up to the consequential midterm elections. “FoxNews is spending far too much time putting on the OPPONENTS of Republican Party Candidates… - Kentucky US Senate candidates on key issues in 2026 midterm electionU.S. Senate | U.S. House | Kentucky Senate | Kentucky House | Louisville mayor | Louisville Metro Council | Jefferson County Board of Education | Jefferson County sheriff | Jefferson County offices | Jefferson County District Court judges…
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2026 US Senate Predictions | Which party will win the Kentucky Senate race?Find out which party will win the 2026 Kentucky Senate race. Get the latest predictions on PredictIt. PredictIt enables you to follow along with 2026 election predictions, politics, and much more! You can even make money on PredictIt!… -
Kentucky Senate Race to Succeed Mitch McConnell Heats Up | EWTN News NightlyThe race to succeed retiring Senator Mitch McConnell reached a boiling point in Lexington, Kentucky, with the first and only televised debate between Republican Congressman Andy Barr and Democratic former state Representative Charles… -
Iran, gas, AI: Barr and Booker spar in the only TV debate for Kentucky Senate this yearThe Paducah Sun Charles Booker, right, speaks during a debate at the WKYT studios in Lexington on Monday. Andy Barr, R-Ky, speaks during a debate at the WKYT studios in Lexington on Monday. Charles Booker speaks during a debate at the WKYT… - Musk-backed PACs have spent over $400 million on advertisingLast week, Elon Musk became the largest individual political donor in modern U.S. history. His largest donations have gone to Republican-aligned PACs, including the Senate Leadership Fund PAC, America PAC, Congressional Leadership Fund…
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Kentucky Senate candidates intensify campaigns ahead of Election DayWith Election Day just two weeks away, Senate candidates Andy Barr and Charles Booker are ramping up their campaigns with ads, endorsements, and public appearances to sway Kentucky voters. Fresh off Monday night's contentious debate, both… - Fact✓Check | Barr's $2,800 tax claim in Kentucky Senate debateLEXINGTON, Ky. (WKYT) - A $2,800 figure dominated discussion of taxes during last night’s Kentucky U.S. Senate debate between Republican Andy Barr and Democrat Charles Booker. Barr said the 2017 Trump tax law gave the “average Kentucky…
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Michael Lee McGregorThe Paducah Sun There was a problem reporting this. Keep it Clean. Please avoid obscene, vulgar, lewd, racist or sexually-oriented language. - To view our latest e-Edition click the image on the left. Iran, gas, AI: Barr and Booker spar in… -
Rand Paul visits ethanol plant to talk E15 fuel, support for McCracken data centerRoughly two weeks ahead of the midterm election, Sen. Rand Paul visited Commonwealth Agri-Energy ethanol plant on Monday to speak with Kentucky farmers. U.S. Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky. HOPKINSVILLE â Roughly two weeks ahead of the midterm… -
Constitutional amendment on KY ballot could limit governor’s powersKentucky voters will be able to vote on a constitutional amendment that would limit the governorâs powers, specifically for pardons and commuting sentences, in this year's midterm election set for Nov. 3. Kentucky voters will be able to… - Charles Booker speaks during a debate at the WKYT studios in Lexington, Ky., on Monday, Oct. 19, 2026.The Paducah Sun Charles Booker speaks during a debate at the WKYT studios in Lexington on Monday. Iran, gas, AI: Barr and Booker spar in the only TV debate for Kentucky Senate this year In the race to succeed U.S. Sen. Mitch McConnell…
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