Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton35%▼ 1
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Montana Senate Election: Turnout
The odds
512,836median
300,000650,000
Median 512,836Middle half 459,549 – 541,085
How the odds have moved
Median: 505,732 on Oct 20, 512,836 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <350K | 4% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | $456 |
| 350K-400K | 2% | ▼ 17 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | $3.1K |
| 400K-450K | 16% | ▲ 14 | 2¢ | 35¢ | $2.87 | $507 |
| 450K-500K | 17% | ▼ 13 | 3¢ | 37¢ | $2.73 | $2.9K |
| 500K-550K | 44% | ▲ 12 | 22¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | $5.6K |
| 550K-600K | 5% | 5¢ | 8¢ | $12.35 | $2K | |
| 600K+ | 12% | ▲ 5 | 1¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | $701 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Montana Senate
Search ›-
Buttigieg endorses independent candidate Seth Bodnar over Democratic nominee in Montana Senate raceOctober 23, 2026 / 12:23 PM EDT / CBS News Former U.S. Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has endorsed the independent candidate in the Montana Senate race, Seth Bodnar, over the Democratic nominee, Bodnar's campaign announced Friday… -
Buttigieg endorses independent over Democratic nominee in Montana Senate racePete Buttigieg, the former Transportation Secretary and popular Democratic Party surrogate who has confirmed considering a 2028 presidential bid, is endorsing independent Montana U.S. Senate candidate Seth Bodnar, according to an… -
Buttigieg Endorses Independent in Montana Senate RaceJust dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192 “Pete Buttigieg, the former Transportation Secretary and popular Democratic Party surrogate who has confirmed considering a 2028 presidential bid, is endorsing independent Montana U.S. Senate… - Top Dem Breaks Ranks With Shock Senate EndorsementThe unexpected show of support came with the Republican candidate leading in the polls. Pete Buttigieg has made a shock endorsement in the Montana Senate race. The former transportation secretary, 44, broke ranks with the Democratic Party…
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DNC denies Bankhead claim she was offered job to drop out of Senate raceAlani Bankhead in an interview with PBS. The DNC denied claims that an offer was made to Alani Bankhead for a job in exchange for her dropping out of the U.S. Senate race in Montana. Bankhead made the claim in an interview on Montana PBS… - AG's office raises election law concerns after Bankhead claims she was offered DNC jobAlani Bankhead in an interview with PBS. MONTANA - Montana Attorney General Austin Knudsen raised alarms on social media on Wednesday after Democrat Alani Bankhead said during an interview with PBS that she was offered a job with the DNC…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions