PolymarketWorldCloses Dec 31 · $383 today · $685K traded · $81.2K at stake · prices read 2 min ago
The odds
17%Japan
Japan17%▲ 1
Germany14%▼ 1
South Korea12%▲ 1
Portugal12%
Saudi Arabia12%
Israel9%
Venezuela8%
Syria8%
Ukraine7%
Italy7%
Oman7%▼ 1
North Korea7%▲ 1
8 more
Russia6%
India6%
Mexico6%▼ 1
Belarus5%
Pakistan5%
Canada4%
Taiwan3%
Lebanon1%
How the odds have moved
Japan: 18% on Oct 20, 17% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
✓ United Kingdom
>99%
▲ 52
100¢
100¢
$35.2K
✓ France
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
$46.5K
✓ China
>99%
100¢
100¢
$122K
✓ Turkey
>99%
100¢
100¢
$52.3K
✓ Switzerland
>99%
100¢
100¢
$54.3K
✓ Ireland
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
$12.2K
Japan
17%
▲ 1
15¢
18¢
$5.56
$26K
Germany
14%
▼ 1
13¢
14¢
$7.14
$21.3K
South Korea
12%
▲ 1
6¢
18¢
$5.56
$17.4K
Portugal
12%
3¢
20¢
$5.00
$151
Saudi Arabia
12%
10¢
13¢
$7.69
$1.4K
Israel
9%
7¢
10¢
$10.00
$32.7K
Venezuela
8%
6¢
9¢
$11.11
$245
Syria
8%
6¢
9¢
$11.11
$1.5K
Ukraine
7%
4¢
10¢
$10.10
$7.6K
Italy
7%
6¢
7¢
$14.29
$30.9K
Oman
7%
▼ 1
1¢
12¢
$8.47
$3.6K
North Korea
7%
▲ 1
6¢
7¢
$14.29
$46.6K
Russia
6%
5¢
8¢
$12.82
$13.5K
India
6%
5¢
7¢
$14.29
$15.4K
Mexico
6%
▼ 1
4¢
7¢
$14.29
$6.4K
Belarus
5%
3¢
7¢
$14.49
$4.7K
Pakistan
5%
4¢
5¢
$20.00
$8.5K
Canada
4%
3¢
5¢
$21.74
$4.9K
Taiwan
3%
3¢
3¢
$30.30
$87.6K
Lebanon
1%
0¢
2¢
$52.63
$32.8K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions