New Hampshire Governor winner? (2026)
94%Kelly Ayotte
- Kelly Ayotte94%
- Cinde Warmington6%▲ 1
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New Hampshire Governor Election Winner
The odds
93%Kelly Ayotte (R)
- Kelly Ayotte (R)93%
- Cinde Warmington (D)7%
How the odds have moved
Kelly Ayotte (R): 94% on Oct 20, 93% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Ayotte (R) | 93% | 93¢ | 93¢ | $1.07 | $27.5K | |
| Cinde Warmington (D) | 7% | 7¢ | 7¢ | $14.49 | $24.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Kalshi
- New Hampshire Governor winner? (2026)Kelly Ayotte (R)Kalshi 94%Polymarket 93%1 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: New Hampshire Governor
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Joyce Craig wins organized labor endorsements in race for N.H. governorWith two contested primaries in full swing, one gubernatorial candidate won the support Tuesday of the New Hampshire AFL-CIO, solidifying her status as organized labor’s favorite in the race. Democratic candidate Joyce Craig, the former… -
Warmington Comes Out Swinging, Lands Few Punches in First New Hampshire Governor's DebateDemocrat Cinde Warmington came out swinging in her first debate with Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte on Tuesday, blaming the incumbent for everything from soaring rents to rising health care costs. But Ayotte gave as good as she got, hitting… -
Former President Obama endorses Warmington for New Hampshire governorFormer President Barack Obama twice won New Hampshire's electoral votes in his presidential campaigns; now, he's trying to help Cinde Warmington notch her own statewide victory in the race for governor as he officially endorses her… -
Ayotte maintains lead over Warmington in new pollA new poll shows there's a clear front-runner in the race for New Hampshire governor. The poll from the Saint Anselm College Survey Center shows incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte leading Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington 50% to… -
Program Alert: NHPR and Granite State News Collaborative cancel Senate forumNHPR and the Granite State News Collaborative have cancelled next week's scheduled forum for candidates in the U.S. Senate race. Republican John Sununu declined to participate in the forum. In an email to NHPR Wednesday afternoon, a Sununu… -
YDC Claims Receives $35M, Administrator Praised For Asking Lawyers To Take LessExecutive Councilor Janet Stevens is pictured with Helen Rogers, who is 110 years old and honored with the Boston Post Cane at Wednesday's Executive Council meeting. By DAMIEN FISHER, InDepthNH.org CONCORD - The former corrections officer… -
Famous Dems campaign for Pappas as NH's crucial Senate race hits final stretchThe campaign trail is heating up in New Hampshire as high-profile surrogates stump in the U.S. Senate race between Chris Pappas and John Sununu, which could have national implications. Two weeks until Election Day and New Hampshire's U.S… -
New Hampshire Approves Blockchain Basic LawsNew Hampshire Governor Kelly Ayotte has signed legislation protecting the use, custody, mining and staking of digital assets. The measure follows a 2025 law that allows the state treasury to invest some public funds in eligible… -
Ayotte and Warmington clash over costs, taxes, energy and schools in first debateGov. Kelly Ayotte and Democrat Cinde Warmington shake hands at the conclusion of their first debate before the Greater Manchester Chamber of Commerce at the New Hampshire Institute of Politics at Saint Anselm College in Manchester on Oct… -
Libertarian Villee will appear on ballot for New Hampshire governorIn the race for New Hampshire governor, voters will have a third option on the ballot on Nov. 3. Libertarian Stephen Villee gathered enough signatures to get on the ballot. Villee ran for governor in 2024 and is calling for smaller…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions