Nevada Governor Election Winner
68%Aaron Ford (D)
- Aaron Ford (D)68%▲ 1
- Joe Lombardo (R)33%▼ 1
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Nevada Governor winner? (2026)
The odds
66%Aaron Ford
- Aaron Ford66%
- Joe Lombardo34%
How the odds have moved
Aaron Ford: 56% on Oct 20, 66% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETAaron Ford: 57% → 65%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ford | 66% | 65¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 1.1M | |
| Joe Lombardo | 34% | 33¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 669.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- Nevada Governor winner? (2026)Aaron Ford (D)Kalshi 66%Polymarket 68%2 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Nevada Governor, Aaron Ford, Joe Lombardo
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FULL: General Election interview with Aaron Ford | Nevada GovernorKOLN | Nebraska Local News, Weather, Sports | Lincoln, NE FULL: General Election interview with Aaron Ford | Nevada Governor Cajuns turn focus to Southern Miss after 33-6 bounce-back win over Troy Quincy City Council hears first reading on… -
Election 2026 Nevada GovernorWV News Democratic gubernatorial candidate Aaron Ford, attorney general of Nevada, speaks accompanied by Diana Valles, president of the Culinary Union, at the Culinary Workers Union headquarters Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2026, in Las Vegas… -
Former VP Harris rallies for AG Aaron Ford ahead of midtermsLAS VEGAS (KLAS) -- With the midterm elections less than two weeks away, former Vice President Kamala Harris rallied alongside Nevada gubernatorial candidate, Nevada Attorney General Aaron Ford, and U.S. Congresswoman Dina Titus of… -
Kamala Harris rallies with Aaron Ford, Culinary Union ahead of Nevada electionLAS VEGAS (FOX5) — Former Vice President Kamala Harris joined Nevada Attorney General and gubernatorial candidate Aaron Ford and Rep. Dina Titus at a rally with Culinary Workers Union Local 226 on Wednesday. Harris thanked Culinary Union… -
Got a Minute? Danielle Ford, running for Nevada governor, shares her native rootsFOX5 Vegas Got a Minute? Danielle Ford, running for Nevada governor, shares her native roots Got a Minute? Bobby Khan, running for Nevada's first congressional district, shares goals FULL: General Election interview with Aaron Ford |… -
A More Affordable Nevada Releases New Ad Featuring Nevadans Telling Joe Lombardo “It’s Time To Go”A More Affordable Nevada, a group backed by the Democratic Governors Association, released a new ad, “Backwards,” featuring Nevadans who are fed up with the cost of gas, groceries, housing, and health care skyrocketing under Joe Lombardo… -
Democratic gubernatorial candidate Aaron Ford holds town hallKTVN Democratic Gubernatorial candidate Aaron Ford held a town hall in Reno on Monday. He heard from Reno residents about issues affecting them and their vote. During the town hall, Attorney General Ford encouraged early voting and spoke… -
Got a Minute? Attorney General Aaron Ford discusses economy, data centers, crime in Governor raceLAS VEGAS (FOX5) — Attorney General Aaron Ford said the state remains in what he calls the “Lombardo-Trump economy,” citing high housing, healthcare and energy costs as he continues campaigning for governor. Ford spoke in an interview… -
FULL: General Election interview with Danielle Ford | Nevada GovernorFOX5 Vegas FULL: General Election interview with Danielle Ford | Nevada Governor FULL: General Election interview with Aaron Ford | Nevada Governor More than 23,000 cast ballots in Clark County early voting opening weekend Got a Minute?… -
Our top takeaways from Nevada’s new campaign finance reportsBy Eric Neugeboren, Tabitha Mueller, Mini Racker, and Isabella AldreteThe Nevada Independent Millions of dollars poured into Nevada’s congressional and statewide races from July through September, according to campaign finance reports… -
Nevada AG Ford urges Trump, challenges Lombardo to sign letter on gas pricesLAS VEGAS (KSNV) — Nevada Attorney General Aaron Ford appeared at a gas station in the Las Vegas Valley with a challenge for Gov. Joe Lombardo, as Ford pushes for federal help to address rising fuel costs. Ford, who is challenging Lombardo… -
Republican Adriana Guzmán Fralick running for Nevada attorney general’s officeLAS VEGAS (KLAS) — Republican Adriana Guzmán Fralick is running for Nevada attorney general. Democrat Aaron Ford is leaving that office to challenge Gov. Joe Lombardo. Guzmán Fralick faces Democrat Nicole Cannizzarro in the Nov. 3, 2026…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.