Arizona Governor winner? (2026)
90%Katie Hobbs
- Katie Hobbs90%
- Andy Biggs11%
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Arizona Governor Election Winner
The odds
89%Katie Hobbs (D)
- Katie Hobbs (D)89%▼ 3
- Andy Biggs (R)11%▲ 2
How the odds have moved
Katie Hobbs (D): 92% on Oct 20, 89% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Hobbs (D) | 89% | ▼ 3 | 88¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | $176K |
| Andy Biggs (R) | 11% | ▲ 2 | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | $173K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Kalshi
- Arizona Governor winner? (2026)Katie Hobbs (D)Kalshi 90%Polymarket 89%1 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Arizona Governor
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Watch: Arizona Governor-Aligned Canvassers Caught Willing To Allow Noncitizens To VoteCanvassers registering voters for groups backing Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs's re-election told undercover Muckraker journalists posing as a non-citizen and as a felon on probation that they could go ahead and register to vote, hidden-camera… -
Politics Unplugged Podcast: Election countdown with Laura GersonyWith Election Day nearing, Arizona’s congressional races are drawing national attention. Arizona Republic reporter Laura Gersony joins Politics Unplugged to break down the high-stakes fights in AZ-01 and AZ-06, where the House majority… - Andy Biggs Pledges to Sign Vetoed Bills as Arizona GovernorNot every piece of GOP legislation needs Hobbs' signature to move forward, however. Legislative leaders passed seven resolutions along party lines this year that bypass her veto entirely and go straight to voters, the Arizona Mirror…
- Yuma Democrats criticize Biggs over rising costs ahead of Election DayEditor's Note: KAWC spoke with Congressman Andy Biggs on Thursday. Hear Biggs' response to Copper State Victory's comments in our interview with him. See the link below. Yuma-area Democrats criticized Republican U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs over…
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Overwhelmed By Election Ads? How Arizona Voters Are Using AI to Pick CandidatesWith the midterm election less than two weeks away, some Arizona voters are turning to artificial intelligence to help them decide who and what to vote for. Overwhelmed By Election Ads? How Arizona Voters Are Using AI to Pick Candidates Do… -
Trump-picked—Biggs, Petersen, Kolodin—an Arizona election denier trifectaUpdate from original story publication Election deniers on the Nov. 3 ballot: A new CNN report shows how election deniers fared in 2020. A post from CNN highlights how the Arizona’s Cyber Ninjas failed audit turned 2020 election… - Arizona 1st District Election 2026: Amish Shah vs. Jay FeelyMLB Picks Tampa Bay Rays Cleveland Guardians NFL Picks College Football Picks Politics News Los Angeles Dodgers Milwaukee Brewers Republican candidate Jay Feely is a name that will be familiar to many NFL fans who spent 14 years as a…
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Democrat Campaigner Caught Swiping Resident’s Porch Package [WATCH]An Arizona doorbell camera captured a jarring campaign scene as an individual approached a residence carrying Democratic Party materials, handled a package near the entrance, and then departed with the item. A second camera angle from the… -
Where Arizona governor candidates are getting their fundingKOLD Where Arizona governor candidates are getting their funding Colorado Springs seeking input on plan to revitalize creeks Cajuns turn focus to Southern Miss after 33-6 bounce-back win over Troy Quincy City Council hears first reading on… -
Hobbs outspends Biggs by millions in Arizona governor’s racePHOENIX (AZFamily) — Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs, a Democrat, has outspent Republican challenger Andy Biggs by $12 million in the race for governor, according to the latest campaign finance reports. That gap widens when outside spending is… -
SENATOR MCCORMICK HOSTS PENNSYLVANIA RED TAPE DIALOGUES IN PHILADELPHIAPHILADELPHIA, PA — U.S. Senator Dave McCormick (R-PA) today hosted the Pennsylvania Red Tape Dialogues at Temple University in Philadelphia, joined by former Arizona Governor Doug Ducey and business leaders from across the Commonwealth… -
Trump Backs Arizona GOP Candidates, Criticizes Hobbs at Bullhead City RallyBULLHEAD CITY, Ariz.—President Donald Trump returned to Arizona on Oct. 14 to rally voters around Republicans ahead of the midterm elections, urging voters to reject Democratic candidates and their economic and border policies. “On Nov. 3…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions