Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Polymarket Politics › Trump administration Closes Dec 31 · $811 today · $135K traded · $18.7K at stake · prices read 23 min ago

The odds

38%None before 2027
  • None before 202738%▲ 1
  • Susie Wiles29%▼ 2
  • Pete Hegseth13%▲ 3
  • Mike Waltz7%▲ 1
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.4%
  • Brooke Rollins2%
  • Russell T. Vought1%▼ 1
  • Lee Zeldin1%
  • Doug Burgum1%
  • J.D. Vance1%
  • Kelly Loeffler1%
  • Howard Lutnick1%
9 more
  • Linda McMahon1%
  • Scott Bessent1%
  • Jamieson Greer1%
  • Marco Rubio1%
  • Doug Collins<1%
  • Scott Turner<1%
  • Sean Duffy<1%
  • Chris Wright<1%
  • John Ratcliffe<1%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
None before 2027 38% ▲ 1 38¢ 40¢ $2.49 $71.4K
Susie Wiles 29% ▼ 2 29¢ 31¢ $3.23 $14.4K
Pete Hegseth 13% ▲ 3 13¢ 16¢ $6.25 $5.3K
Mike Waltz 7% ▲ 1 6¢ 9¢ $10.87 $1.2K
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 4% 3¢ 7¢ $14.08 $24.2K
Brooke Rollins 2% 1¢ 4¢ $25.64 $1K
Russell T. Vought 1% ▼ 1 1¢ 3¢ $37.04 $832
Lee Zeldin 1% 1¢ 2¢ $47.62 $1.5K
Doug Burgum 1% 1¢ 2¢ $58.82 $1.2K
J.D. Vance 1% 0¢ 2¢ $47.62 $836
Kelly Loeffler 1% 1¢ 1¢ $83.33 $1.1K
Howard Lutnick 1% 1¢ 1¢ $100.00 $1.2K
Linda McMahon 1% 1¢ 1¢ $90.91 $1.3K
Scott Bessent 1% 1¢ 1¢ $3.2K
Jamieson Greer 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $793
Marco Rubio 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $798
Doug Collins <1% 0¢ 1¢ $961
Scott Turner <1% 0¢ 0¢ $576
Sean Duffy <1% 0¢ 0¢ $974
Chris Wright <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.2K
John Ratcliffe <1% 0¢ 0¢ $825

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Trump Cabinet, Susie Wiles, Pete Hegseth

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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KalshiCloses Jan 27, 2029 · $17.7K today

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