Brazil Presidential Election
72%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro72%▼ 11
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva28%▲ 12
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Mexico Legislative Election Winner
The odds
87%Morena
- Morena87%
- PAN5%
- PRI3%
- MC3%
- PVEM<1%
- PT<1%
How the odds have moved
Morena: 87% on Oct 20, 87% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morena | 87% | 85¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | $57.8K | |
| PAN | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.08 | $22.5K | |
| PRI | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | $8.8K | |
| MC | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | $12.2K | |
| PVEM | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $6.6K | ||
| PT | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $7.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Mexico Legislative
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Course correction needed for New Mexico universal childcare fund, legislative economist saysThe New Mexico Legislature's chief economist told lawmakers this week that without adjustments, New Mexico's early childhood trust fund will be unable to support the state's new universal childcare program by 2048. The state created the… -
Fact Check: John Block Sends Attack Letter: Relies on Insinuations and Falsehoods While Ignoring His Own Record of Division and Limited ResultsIt contrasts this with Block’s assertion that he has delivered more than $11 million, kept promises on veterans and military families, and fought taxes and the shuttering of an ICE facility. A review of New Mexico legislative records… -
New Mexico lacks clear standards for how state agencies should conduct internal audits, report findsNew Mexico Legislative Finance Committee Program Evaluator Guillermo Caraveo, left, and LFC Deputy Director Rachel Mercer Garcia, right, deliver a report to state lawmakers on Oct. 20, 2026, about New Mexico’s lack of clear standards for… -
Mexico Proposes ISP Liability Reform for Copyright InfringementA reform to the Federal Copyright Law, colloquially known as an “anti-meme law,” is advancing through the Mexican legislative process. The text of the reform, proposed by the Mexican president, seeks to change the “safe harbor” provisions… -
OPINION: New Mexico needs stronger legislative ethics laws to restore public trustWith Constitutional Amendment 4 on the November ballot, Fred Nathan Jr. outlines 10 proposals to strengthen legislative accountability in New Mexico. Think New Mexico's Fred Nathan Jr. argues that proposals to strengthen financial…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions