PolymarketWorldCloses Dec 31 · $101K traded · $4.9K at stake · prices read 24 min ago
The odds
16%December 31
December 3116%▲ 2
How the odds have moved
December 31: 21% on Oct 20, 16% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
April 30
<1%
0¢
$64.6K
May 31
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$12.8K
June 30
<1%
0¢
$12.5K
December 31
16%
▲ 2
15¢
17¢
$5.88
$11.4K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Colombia's president says two key leaders of National Liberation Army killedConnecticut Post · 43 h agoHe described the attack as “the hardest blow” to hit the guerrilla group in the last eight years. The operation took place Thursday in a rural area of El Tambo, in the Cauca department of Colombia’s Pacific region. Individuals known as…
Colombian VP Says Budget Needs US$22B FixThe Rio Times · 2 days agoColombia’s vice president says next year needs a fiscal adjustment of nearly US$22 billion. It would come on top of this week’s US$4.3 billion cut. On Friday, 23 October, Vice President José Manuel Restrepo said Colombia needs almost 70…
Ten rebels from Colombian ELN guerrilla group killedYahoo News · 2 days agoTen rebels have been killed during a military operation against the Colombian guerrilla organization ELN, President Abelardo de la Espriella said on Sunday. Writing on social media, he called it "the hardest blow against the ELN in the…
US May Widen Colombia Visa Bans Beyond 21The Rio Times · 3 days agoCOLOMBIA · US SANCTIONS The United States is weighing a fourth round of pressure on Colombian figures after the latest Colombia visa bans, the Bogotá daily El Tiempo said on Friday 23 October 2026. Its investigative unit says sources in…
Bancolombia Chief Backs 8% to 9% Wage RiseThe Rio Times · 3 days agoBancolombia minimum wage talk moved on Friday 23 October 2026, when its president said Colombia’s minimum wage should rise 8% to 9% for 2027. Juan Carlos Mora, who runs parent company Grupo Cibest, spoke at the Camacol construction…
US Imposes Visa Restrictions on 61 Colombian, Bolivian FiguresSEE News · 4 days agoSecretary of State Marco Rubio said in a statement that the measures target 21 individuals in Colombia who allegedly undermine democratically elected governments in the Western Hemisphere through corruption or drug trafficking, regardless…
Colombia Extradites Mocho Olmedo on 4 CountsThe Rio Times · 4 days agoColombia extradites Mocho Olmedo, a commander of a FARC dissident group, to face cocaine-trafficking charges in a Florida federal court. Colombian outlets reported on Friday 23 October 2026 that Willinton Henao Gutiérrez had left La Picota…
What Morales’ Appointment Means for Peace TalksThe Rio Times · 4 days agoCOLOMBIA · PEACE POLICY Colombia’s main peace tables with armed groups are closed. A new commissioner has been given the 2016 accord to review. Colombia peace talks now rest on one appointment: President Abelardo de la Espriella has named…
Colombian President De la Espriella Follows the Far-Right PlaybookteleSURenglish · 4 days agoColombian President Abelardo de la Espriella, 2026. X/ @lgbtplusnewsit October 23, 2026 Hour: 11:14 am Colombian President Abelardo de la Espriella is following the playbook that other far-right leaders, such as U.S. President Donald…
US Revokes Visas of Ex-Ecopetrol Chief RoaThe Rio Times · 5 days ago—Who. The State Department cancelled visas of Colombian political and business figures, including ex-Ecopetrol chief Ricardo Roa. —What. It says it is expanding its campaign against corruption and drug trafficking in the region. —How many…
Why is Latin America Swinging to the Right?The American Conservative · 5 days agoThe Western Hemisphere’s rightward turn has more to do with thermostatic politics than the demise of USAID. The post Why is Latin America Swinging to the Right? appeared first on The American Conservative. Why is Latin America Swinging to…
One person hospitalized after Harrisburg stabbingYahoo News · 5 days agoA stabbing in Harrisburg on Wednesday evening left one person hospitalized, according to Dauphin County dispatchers. From blockaded schools in Rome to tent camps in Madrid and street protests in France, young people across Europe are…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
