Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton35%▼ 1
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Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
The odds
1%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 2% on Oct 20, 1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $71.43 | $25K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Senate Supermajority, Trifecta
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Benson kicks off statewide bus tour, aims to reclaim Lansing trifectaDemocratic gubernatorial nominee Jocelyn Benson is hitting the road on a bus tour during the final days of the election. Term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer joined Benson and her running mate, Senate Majority Leader Winnie Brinks, Thursday… -
With a trifecta, Pennsylvania Democrats would pass energy reforms and rein in data centersBy Ben Seal | Inside Climate News It’s been more than three decades since Democrats held a trifecta in Pennsylvania, but the prospect of a blue wave in next month’s elections has Gov. Josh Shapiro and party leadership optimistic that their… -
Trump-picked—Biggs, Petersen, Kolodin—an Arizona election denier trifectaUpdate from original story publication Election deniers on the Nov. 3 ballot: A new CNN report shows how election deniers fared in 2020. A post from CNN highlights how the Arizona’s Cyber Ninjas failed audit turned 2020 election… -
Opinion | After a blue wave, here's what Democrats should doDavid Faris is a professor of political science at Roosevelt University, and the author of “It’s Time to Fight Dirty: How Democrats Can Build a Lasting Majority in American Politics.” Giddy Democrats can almost taste it: They are… -
Democrats eye Election Day gains against Republican State Senate supermajority(Indiana Capital Chronicle) - Only a handful of races are truly competitive in this year’s Indiana Senate elections, with most of the money flowing to a northwest Indiana district and a suburban Indianapolis contest. Democrats are hoping… -
With a Trifecta in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania Democrats Would Pass Energy Reforms and Rein in Data CentersIt’s been more than three decades since Democrats held a trifecta in Pennsylvania, but the prospect of a blue wave in next month’s elections has Gov. Josh Shapiro and party leadership optimistic that their time could come in Harrisburg. “I… -
Democrats, Republicans seek ‘trifectas’ in the 2026 midtermsThe balance of power in state governments is on the ballot in many states this November. Both parties could win “trifectas” — control of the governor’s mansion and both chambers of the state legislature — in some states, which would give… -
Dems push for new governing trifectas in favorable environmentDemocrats are aiming to add several new trifecta governing blocks in the midterm elections, capitalizing on a favorable political environment to elevate the party’s power in the states as it also seeks control of Congress. The Cost of… -
Another lawsuit filed against ‘gargantuan’ omnibus bill passed by DFL trifecta"If the Legislature is going to impose significant new burdens on the people of Minnesota, the Constitution requires that it consider them one subject at a time and give each an up-or-down vote," said Nicholas Nelson of the Upper Midwest…
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All senate ›Texas Senate Election Winner
65%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)65%▲ 2
- Ken Paxton (R)36%▼ 2
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
64%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party64%▲ 2
- Republican Party36%▼ 1
South Carolina Senate winner? (2026)
77%Darline Graham
- Darline Graham77%▼ 3
- Annie Andrews24%▲ 3
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
63%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep63%▼ 1
- D-House, R-Senate28%▲ 2
- Republicans sweep9%
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Florida Senate winner? (2026)
89%Ashley Moody
- Ashley Moody89%▼ 1
- Angie Nixon12%▲ 1
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions