Bitcoin above ___ on November 4?
$81,000median
$68,000$92,000
Median $81,000Middle half $80,499 – $81,501
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Bitcoin above ___ on November 5?
The last odds before it closed
$77,000median
$70,000$94,000
Median $77,000Middle half $76,499 – $77,501
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72,000 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $156K | ||
| 74,000 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $144K | ||
| 76,000 | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $18K | |
| 78,000 | <1% | ▼ 92 | 0¢ | $284K | ||
| 80,000 | <1% | ▼ 64 | 0¢ | $189K | ||
| 82,000 | <1% | ▼ 17 | 0¢ | $226K | ||
| 84,000 | <1% | ▼ 4 | 0¢ | $173K | ||
| 86,000 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $52.4K | ||
| 88,000 | <1% | 0¢ | $22.4K | |||
| 90,000 | <1% | 0¢ | $55.1K | |||
| 92,000 | <1% | 0¢ | $92.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Related markets
All bitcoin ›What price will Bitcoin hit in November?
$82,000high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $82,000 and as low as $70,938.
- Reaches $80,000>99%
- Reaches $82,50038%
- Falls to $77,500>99%
- Falls to $75,00090%
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
54%↓ 70,000
Traders see as low as $69,167.
- Reaches $90,00024%
- Reaches $95,00014%
- Falls to $70,00054%
- Falls to $65,00033%
Already reached: ↓ 60,000, ↑ 85,000, ↑ 80,000, ↑ 75,000, ↑ 70,000, ↑ 65,000
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
2%chance
STRC hits $100 by…
Nov 15, 2027even chance by
- October 31<1%
- November 30>99%▲ 15
- December 31>99%▲ 13
How low will BTC get in November?
43%Below $70,000.00
Traders see as low as $70,798.
- Falls to $75,00092%
- Falls to $72,50066%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions