How low will BTC get in November?

Kalshi Crypto › Bitcoin Closes Nov 30 · $18.5K today · $24.1K traded · $18.9K at stake · prices read 27 min ago

The odds

55%Below $72,500.00
Bitcoin now 76,888.21 −1.13%

Traders see as low as $71,892.

  • Falls to $75,00079%
  • Falls to $72,50055%
  • Falls to $70,00036%
  • Falls to $67,50024%
  • Falls to $65,00017%
  • Falls to $62,50012%
  • Falls to $60,0007%
  • Falls to $57,5004%

How the odds have moved

Falls to $67,500: 18% on Nov 2, 24% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Below $57,500.00 4% ▲ 1 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 2.9K
Below $60,000.00 7% ▲ 3 6¢ 8¢ $12.50 389
Below $62,500.00 12% ▲ 6 11¢ 13¢ $7.69 18.8K
Below $65,000.00 17% ▲ 8 16¢ 18¢ $5.56 36.5K
Below $67,500.00 24% ▲ 6 23¢ 24¢ $4.17 14.5K
Below $70,000.00 36% ▲ 6 35¢ 37¢ $2.70 2.2K
Below $72,500.00 55% ▲ 6 53¢ 56¢ $1.79 3.5K
Below $75,000.00 79% ▲ 10 78¢ 79¢ $1.27 12.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Bitcoin

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  • Strategy Resumes Bitcoin Buys With $66M PurchaseDecrypt · 3 h agoStrategy bought 811 BTC for $65.5 million last week, the company said on Monday, resuming its Bitcoin purchases after a one-week pause. The Bitcoin treasury firm paid an average of $80,846 per coin between October 26 and November 1…
  • Bitcoin ETF Investors Head for the Exits After Record Binance HackDecrypt · 22 h agoThe first real test of how ETF investors would react to the largest crypto hack in history came back red. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs shed $643.2 million on Friday, according to Decrypt’s ETF tracker, their biggest single-day outflow of…
  • Binance Hack: Why Bitcoin Didn't Crash Like It Did in 2018Decrypt · 3 days agoBitcoin is down about 4% a day after the biggest crypto hack on record. In March 2018, a failed attack on the same exchange knocked nearly 11% off its price in minutes, and Binance said at the time that no funds had been stolen. Binance…
  • Bitwise's Matt Hogan: $6.3 billion Binance hack won't hurt Bitcoin long-termCNBC · 3 days agoBitwise CIO Matt Hougan joins 'Fast Money' to talk the impact of the Binance hack on bitcoin pricing. Bitwise’s Matt Hougan: $6.3 billion Binance hack won’t hurt Bitcoin long-term
  • Why bitcoin held up better after the record Binance hackCNBC · 3 days agoBinance has suffered the biggest hack in crypto history, but that's done little to shake confidence in bitcoin, according to market analysts and researchers. On Thursday, the world's largest exchange by daily trading volume said that…
  • Worried About Crypto Hacks? Buy Bitcoin Proxies in Stock Market Instead, Say Wall Street FirmsDecrypt · 3 days agoWall Street analysts are telling clients the record-breaking hack of Binance is a buying opportunity, not a reason to flee, urging investors to scoop up crypto-linked stocks while prices are depressed. Analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald, TD…
  • From Bitcoin to Binance: Crypto terms and what they meanBBC News · 3 days agoFrom the rapidly rising and falling values of Bitcoin to high-profile heists like the hacking of Binance, the world of cryptocurrencies is often in the headlines. The world's biggest crypto exchange said hackers had gained access to $6.3bn…
  • One Paper, Infinite Markets: MEXC Marks 18 Years of the Bitcoin Whitepaper by Looking Beyond BitcoinTechBullion · 8 h agoThe paper ended on page nine. The markets did not. “Page 10” represents everything that has unfolded since, and the next chapter in the ongoing evolution of global financial markets. The campaign also featured The Paper That Never Ended, a…
  • Bitcoin Remains Unshaken Amid Binance Breachonesafe.io · 12 h agoBitcoin shows remarkable stability amidst the Binance security breach, showcasing trader resilience and evolving market dynamics in the crypto landscape. In a startling twist amidst chaos, Bitcoin, alongside Ethereum, XRP, and Dogecoin…
  • Bitcoin and the Midterm Election Tug-of-Waronesafe.io · 8 h agoAnalyzing Bitcoin’s historical response to midterm elections reveals a perplexing paradox. Instead of typically manifesting strength, Bitcoin often unravels in the aftermath of key electoral milestones. The episodes from the elections of…
  • REG - Smarter Web Company - Bitcoin Custody ArrangementsTradingView · 12 h ago("The Smarter Web Company" or the "Company") The Smarter Web Company PLC provides the following update regarding its Bitcoin custody arrangements, in light of recent reports on security incidents within the digital asset sector. The…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions