Bitcoin above ___ on November 4?

Polymarket Crypto › Bitcoin For Wed 12:00 PM ET · $1.2M today · $1.5M traded · $69K at stake

The odds

$68,000$92,000
Median $81,000Middle half $80,499 – $81,501Above today's price >99%

How the odds have moved

Median: $80,073 on Oct 29, $77,660 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
70,000 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $127K
72,000 >99% ▲ 1 100¢ 100¢ $87.9K
74,000 >99% ▲ 3 100¢ 100¢ $149K
76,000 >99% ▲ 18 100¢ 100¢ $119K
78,000 >99% ▲ 55 100¢ 100¢ $259K
80,000 >99% ▲ 89 100¢ 100¢ $247K
82,000 <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $177K
84,000 <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $56.7K
86,000 <1% 0¢ $71.2K
88,000 <1% 0¢ $126K
90,000 <1% 0¢ $44.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Bitcoin

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  • Why Bitcoin's Next Soft Fork Could Feel Like a Practice RunDecrypt · 14 h agoFour flaws in Bitcoin’s consensus rules that have lingered for years. Issues like quantum resistance may command attention, but a practical cleanup is what many experts think Bitcoin’s next soft fork is likely to address, spanning fixes…
  • VanEck’s Matthew Sigel: We're bullish on BitcoinCNBC · 22 h agoCNBC VanEck’s Matthew Sigel: We're bullish on Bitcoin
  • Bitcoin Rebounds After Democratic Midterm Sweep, But Crypto Faces Tougher Fight in WashingtonDecrypt · 20 h agoBitcoin and Ethereum recovered Wednesday after Democrats won control of both houses of Congress in the U.S. midterm elections, despite the results likely making the crypto industry's push for friendlier federal rules more difficult. The…
  • Bitcoin Shrugs Off Midterms as Experts Say Democratic Sweep Was 'Priced In'Decrypt · 24 h agoDemocrats flipped both the House of Representatives and the Senate in the U.S. midterms, handing President Donald Trump a major political setback. Experts say this was not the "preferred outcome" for crypto markets and that it has…
  • American Bitcoin swings to $126M profit in Q3 2026 on Bitcoin gainsCrypto Briefing · 7 h agoThe Nasdaq-listed miner keeps stacking Bitcoin even as its per-coin mining costs climb American Bitcoin Corp. has added another 127 BTC to its balance sheet, bringing total holdings to 8,427 BTC. The more interesting story sits underneath…
  • Bitcoin priceOKX Europe · 10 h agoBitcoin is a digital asset and a payment system that was first proposed in 2008 by an anonymous person or group of people under the name Satoshi Nakamoto. Bitcoin is decentralized and not subject to government or central authority control…
  • Bitcoin boosted by Democratic sweep?Investorideas.com · 3 h agodeVere Group CEO Nigel Green says gridlock in Washington and tougher crypto rules could draw more mainstream investors to Bitcoin. Democrats taking control of Congress could push more mainstream money into Bitcoin, despite widespread fears…
  • Judge Orders Bitcoin Wallet Returned to Family of Convicted Canadian KillerDecrypt · 27 h agoA Canadian judge has ordered that a laptop containing a Bitcoin wallet be returned to the family of William Sandeson, who is serving a life sentence for the 2015 murder of fellow university student Taylor Samson during a drugs deal, Global…
  • bitcoin++ goes darkbitcoin++ · 11 h agoTicket changes, participation deadlines, and the moments worth putting on your calendar. §01 · Open source edition Join us in Seoul for our first Korean conference. We’ll be focusing on the dark side of transacting with bitcoin Code, field…
  • Bitcoin Miners Shift Towards AI Infrastructureonesafe.io · 5 h agoThe cryptocurrency realm is undergoing a seismic shift, and Bitcoin mining companies find themselves at a crucial juncture. Just as AI infrastructure stocks face a storm of sell-offs, investors are wrestling with uncertainty about the…
  • American Bitcoin Posts $126M Q3 ProfitCrypto Economy · 4 h agoHome > Bitcoin News > American Bitcoin Posts $126M Q3 Profit Bitcoin Tops $80K as TRUMP Slides 15% TL;DR Bitcoin rebounded above $80,000 after falling below $76,000 following the U.S. midterms, while CoinMarketCap showed BTC near $80,490…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions