Next Press Secretary announced by...?
Nov 27, 2027even chance by
- October 3114%▼ 5
- November 3055%▼ 5
- December 3177%▼ 4
Install
Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 23?
The odds
38.6median
3542
Median 38.6Middle half 38.2 – 39.2
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.0+ | 97% | ▼ 1 | 96¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | $534 |
| 37.0+ | 97% | ▼ 1 | 96¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | $1.2K |
| 38.0+ | 87% | 86¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | $812 | |
| 39.0+ | 29% | ▼ 5 | 26¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | $3.3K |
| 40.0+ | 4% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | $2.7K |
| 41.0+ | 1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 2¢ | $66.67 | $4.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026?
38.58%median
38.55%39.25%
Median 38.58%Middle half 38.61% – 38.77%
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.