Predictions › Politics › Trump administration
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Katie Zacharia, Press Secretary Search › No recent headlines name this market's subject.
October 31 14% ▼ 5 November 30 55% ▼ 5 December 31 77% ▼ 4
SI / Super Intelligence 84% ▲ 19 Russia / Ukraine 81% ▲ 11 Drag Show 79% ▲ 16 19 more Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times 75% ▼ 12 Transgender 5+ times 71% ▼ 11 America First / Gulf of America 65% ▼ 4 Hormuz / Blockade 61% ▼ 1 Ass 60% ▼ 5 Animal 59% ▼ 2 Fertilizer / Rural 57% ▲ 12 Data Center / Electric / Electricity 45% ▲ 12 Hell 15+ times 45% ▼ 9 AI / Artificial Intelligence 41% ▼ 4 Fentanyl / Deport / Deported 41% ▲ 10 Bull / Bullshit 40% ▼ 2 Star 38% ▼ 4 Tax 33+ times 34% ▼ 13 Regulation / Regulatory 31% ▲ 4 Gay / Palestine 27% ▲ 6 Maduro 19% ▼ 5 Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency 2% ▲ 1 -No Qualifying Event- 1% Vladimir Putin 86% ▲ 3 Mohammed bin Salman 77% ▼ 3 Kim Jong Un 13% ▼ 18 11 more Aleksandr Lukashenko 11% ▼ 2 King Mohammed VI 11% ▼ 2 Changpeng Zhao 11% Pope Leo XIV 5% ▲ 1 MrBeast 5% iShowSpeed 4% Lai Ching-te 4% Nick Fuentes 3% Yoon Suk Yeol 3% Nicolás Maduro 2% Jair Bolsonaro 2% ▼ 1 Anna Kelly 14% ▲ 3 Scott Jennings 14% ▼ 1 Elizabeth Pipko 6% ▲ 2 57 more Steven Cheung 3% ▲ 2 Alina Habba 3% Danielle Alvarez 3% Margo Martin 3% Kari Lake 2% No new person 2% ▲ 1 Rachel Campos-Duffy 2% Roma Daravi 2% Laura Loomer 2% Tricia McLaughlin 2% Maria Bartiromo 2% ▼ 1 Erin Elmore Scavino 2% Karoline Leavitt 2% Katie Miller 1% ▼ 3 Jason Miller 1% Sage Steele 1% Tucker Carlson 1% Liz Huston 1% Natalie Harp 1% Spencer Pratt 1% Lara Trump 1% Jayme Franklin 1% Erika Kirk 1% Matthew Boyle 1% Taylor Budowich 1% ▼ 1 Monica Crowley 1% Kush Desai 1% Ari Fleischer 1% Benny Johnson 1% Matt Walsh 1% Ben Shapiro 1% Jack Posobiec 1% Mike Cernovich 1% Dan Bongino 1% Kayleigh McEnany 1% Harrison Fields 1% Taylor Rogers 1% ▼ 1 Hogan Gidley 1% Katie Pavlich 1% ▼ 1 Lauren Bis 1% Pat Adams 1% Kaelan Dorr 1% Vanessa Broussard 1% Cara Castronuova 1% Mark Levin 1% Logan Paul 1% Jake Paul 1% Eric Daugherty 1% Ben Ferguson 1% Tulsi Gabbard 1% Beni Rae Harmony 1% Peter Doocy 1% Sean Spicer 1% Marco Rubio 1% Kat Timpf 1% Kaylee McGhee White 1% George Santos 1%
38.55% 39.25%
Median 38.58% Middle half 38.61% – 38.77%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Trading closes Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET
Traded $6.3K
Today $113
This week $6.3K
At stake $3.8K
Followed here since Oct 19, 2026
The rules This market will resolve to “Yes” if Katie Zacharia leads a White House press briefing as White House Press Secretary between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution is based on who actually delivers the briefing from the podium, not on who is listed or announced in advance. Katie Zacharia will not qualify if she appears at a briefing only as a guest, or speaks only after being introduced by the individual leading the briefing. For the purposes of this market, a White House press briefing is an event listed on the public White House schedule as a press briefing. "New Media" briefings and special briefings including additio
The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket .
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .