Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton35%▼ 1
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Troy Jackson runs behind Hannah Pingree by...? (First Round)
The odds
39%0-3 points behind
- 0-3 points behind39%▲ 4
- 6-9 points behind27%▼ 5
- Runs ahead18%▼ 3
- 3-6 points behind14%▲ 5
- 9+ points behind2%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
0-3 points behind: 33% on Oct 20, 39% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-3 points behind | 39% | ▲ 4 | 38¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | $1.9K |
| 6-9 points behind | 27% | ▼ 5 | 26¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | $2.7K |
| Runs ahead | 18% | ▼ 3 | 16¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | $2K |
| 3-6 points behind | 14% | ▲ 5 | 13¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | $1.5K |
| 9+ points behind | 2% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | $3.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Troy Jackson, Hannah Pingree
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Troy Jackson officiated his wedding, but this Mainer is making a startling claim against himAUGUSTA, Maine — Till attack ads do us part. A man whose wedding Maine Senate hopeful Troy Jackson officiated during the pandemic is now throwing his weight behind incumbent Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) in a scathing new ad. Ronnie… -
Troy Jackson’s LGBTQ+ record is good news for Maine votersTroy Jackson’s LGBTQ+ legislative record and recent campaigning paint a bright future if he’s elected to the US Senate. Few people outside of Maine probably knew much about Troy Jackson’s LGBTQ+ legislative record until earlier this year… -
Republican ads call Troy Jackson and his family corrupt. Are they telling the truth?Mainers have almost certainly seen the ads accusing Troy Jackson of corruption. There are nearly $14 million worth of them blanketing state’s airwaves. Republicans nationwide have used personal attacks prominently in their campaign… -
Maine focus: Will Troy Jackson finally beat Susan Collins?Rick Wilson has said on many podcasts that Susan Collins must have a Horcrux buried somewhere, as she has managed to survive challenges and retain her seat many times. Is this the year we finally take it back? The polling, I understand, is… - Gov. Hannah Pingree might just keep me in Maine | LetterI’ve grown up in rural Maine, and I can’t imagine living anywhere else. Now that I’m 17 and looking toward my future, I’m worried that I won’t be able to afford to stay in Maine. With skyrocketing housing prices, I might be priced out of…
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Maine Professional Fire Fighters union endorses Hannah Pingree for governor.newscentermaine.com Maine Professional Fire Fighters union endorses Hannah Pingree for governor. To stream NCM on your phone, you need the NCM app. Download the NCM app Next up in 5 Example video title will go here for this video Before… -
OOPS! Troy Jackson Campaign Mailer Features Woman From a Town in Maine That DOESN’T EXISTThe Troy Jackson campaign is just not competent. Yesterday, the Gateway Pundit reported that Jackson supporters held a ‘Women for Troy Jackson’ event and Jackson didn’t even show up. Now, it has been revealed that a mailer for the campaign… -
Maine Republicans face a defining test as Susan Collins fights to keep her Senate seatSen. Susan Collins faces a challenge from Democrat Troy Jackson in Maine as Republicans debate the future of centrism and the GOP's place in New England. Maine Republicans face a defining test as Susan Collins fights to keep her Senate… -
DAVID MARCUS: The future of the GOP in New England rides on Maine’s Senate voteSen. Susan Collins faces a challenge from Democrat Troy Jackson in Maine as Republicans debate the future of centrism and the GOP's place in New England. The New England region of the United States comprises six states, more than 15… -
Troy Jackson rallies union supporters as US Senate race in Maine enters final stretchWith 10 days until the midterm election, Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Troy Jackson rallied union members and campaign volunteers Saturday, emphasizing his support for working Mainers while criticizing Republican incumbent Sen. Susan… -
Susan Collins tailgates and Troy Jackson rallies with 10 days left until Election DayU.S. Sen. Susan Collins and Troy Jackson spent the second Saturday before Election Day in very different settings. Collins sipped hard seltzer while working the crowd at the University of Maine’s homecoming tailgate in Orono. Jackson… -
Oops: Troy Jackson’s Campaign Features ‘Kate From Norwich’ — A Town That Doesn’t Exist in MaineOne thing about Troy Jackson, he is not a smart man. Apparently, the people running his communications arm, also aren't very quick on the uptake. Maine is pretty small. One would think he would know there is no 'Norwich, Maine'. That seems…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions