Israeli Legislative Election Winner
81%Likud
- Likud81%▲ 50
- Yashar19%▼ 51
- Together<1%▼ 1
3 more
- Shas<1%
- The Democrats<1%
- Otzma Yehudit<1%
Install
French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
The odds
32%Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon32%▼ 2
- Édouard Philippe24%▼ 1
- David Lisnard16%▲ 3
- Raphaël Glucksmann12%▲ 1
- Gabriel Attal6%▼ 1
- Marine Le Pen4%
- Bruno Retailleau2%
- Jordan Bardella2%
- Sarah Knafo2%
- François Hollande1%
- Dominique de Villepin1%
- Christine Lagarde1%
4 more
- Éric Zemmour<1%
- Marine Tondelier<1%
- François Ruffin<1%
- Sébastien Lecornu<1%
How the odds have moved
Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 36% on Oct 20, 32% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 32% | ▼ 2 | 32¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | $9.3K |
| Édouard Philippe | 24% | ▼ 1 | 24¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | $3.1K |
| David Lisnard | 16% | ▲ 3 | 16¢ | 19¢ | $5.38 | $3.5K |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 12% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | $2.9K |
| Gabriel Attal | 6% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | $2.7K |
| Marine Le Pen | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $13.51 | $2.4K | |
| Bruno Retailleau | 2% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $21.28 | $821 | |
| Jordan Bardella | 2% | 0¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | $812 | |
| Sarah Knafo | 2% | 0¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | $790 | |
| François Hollande | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $66.67 | $692 | |
| Dominique de Villepin | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $71.43 | $651 | |
| Christine Lagarde | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | $1.6K | |
| Éric Zemmour | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $646 | ||
| Marine Tondelier | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $450 | ||
| François Ruffin | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $717 | ||
| Sébastien Lecornu | <1% | 0¢ | $316 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: French Presidential, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Édouard Philippe
Search ›-
Why Jean-Luc Mélenchon wants France to burnThe post Why Jean-Luc Mélenchon wants France to burn appeared first on spiked. As France has descended into anarchy, enduring its most destructive and violent rioting in decades, most of the candidates to replace Emmanuel Macron as… -
How French presidential hopefuls turn unrest into campaign ammo – RT reportsWhile right-wing firebrand and potential front runner Marine Le Pen blames collapsing state authority, her left-wing rival, Jean-Luc Melenchon, accuses the government of failing to hear the voice of the people. Nationwide protests began in… -
Macron postpones trip to Nigeria, Senegal: French presidential sourcePARIS: France’s President Emmanuel Macron has postponed a planned visit to Senegal and Nigeria later this month, a French presidential source said Friday, following riots that erupted on the sidelines of nationwide protests last weekend… -
French protests hand Melenchon election boostThe protests in France have handed Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the leader of the far Left, a boost in his presidential campaign. Polling conducted after the Oct 17 protests shows that Mr Mélenchon has pulled ahead of Édouard Philippe, an ally of… -
Who is Marine Le Pen? Why are betting markets bullish on her winning 2027 French presidency amid unrest in FranceBetting markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket are bullish on Marine Le Pen's chances of winning the 2027 French presidential election. The prediction comes as massive nationwide protests over the cost of living woes continue to roil… - French Presidential Airbus A330-243 F-UJCU returns from Athens to Marseille§A · Dispatch · Landing The A330-243 flew 910 nautical miles from Athens to Marseille in 2 hours 14 minutes on October 21. Emmanuel Macron / French Presidential Flight Emmanuel Macron / French Presidential Flight's Airbus A330-243, tail…
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Recommended StoriesWithin a month, however, a cascade of disorder developed on a scale not seen in years. The rioting and destruction on the weekend of Oct. 17-18 by an alliance of immigrant-descended “New French” and the radical Left has not just shaken the… -
France Braces For Riots On Day After Deadly Paris Shooting, Deploys Tens Of Thousands Of Police OfficersFrance is expecting another day of large-scale protests and a potential intensification of the violence and looting witnessed at such demonstrations in recent weeks. Nuñez added that 70,000 police officers would be deployed to deal with… - France's Le Pen launches presidential bid as protests rattle the nationBy Lafken Zepeda and Nicolas Economou ORLEANS, France, Oct 25 (Reuters) - Far-right leader Marine Le Pen, the frontrunner in next year's French presidential election, formally launched her campaign on Sunday with a promise to restore order…
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France unrest: 1,000 detained as cost-of-living protests explode into clashesParis [France], October 25 (ANI): Massive nationwide protests in France over the rising cost of living and underfunded public services turned violent, with nearly 1,000 people arrested and key urban centres hit by tear gas and clashes… -
Marine Le Pen Gains Support in French Presidential Poll After Weekend RiotsThe far-right leader secures 34–38% in first-round polling for the 2027 election, although the survey cannot establish whether the unrest contributed to her rising support. Marine Le Pen has gained support in the first opinion poll on… -
Video. Euronews on the ground as hundreds of thousands protest in ParisGo beyond the headlines with Euronews EU.XL — a deep dive into the EU’s key policies and decisions through videos, explainers, polls, and a chatbot answering your questions anytime and in your language Top News Stories Today Hundreds of…
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Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
25.9median
1639
Median 25.9Middle half 22.7 – 27.6
Next French Presidential Election
44%Marine Le Pen
- Marine Le Pen44%
- Édouard Philippe17%▲ 1
- David Lisnard14%
42 more
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%▲ 1
- Raphaël Glucksmann4%▼ 1
- François Hollande3%▼ 1
- Jordan Bardella1%▲ 1
- Bruno Retailleau1%
- Éric Zemmour1%
- Gabriel Attal1%
- Dominique de Villepin1%
- Sarah Knafo1%
- Christine Lagarde<1%
- Xavier Bertrand<1%
- Sébastien Lecornu<1%
- Marion Maréchal<1%
- François Ruffin<1%
- Ségolène Royal<1%
- François Asselineau<1%
- Jean Castex<1%
- Natacha Polony<1%
- Laurent Wauquiez<1%
- Marine Tondelier<1%
- Fabien Roussel<1%
- Olivier Faure<1%
- Clémentine Autain<1%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
- Michel Barnier<1%
- Valérie Pécresse<1%
- François Bayrou<1%
- Élisabeth Borne<1%
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- Gérald Darmanin<1%
- Carole Delga<1%
- Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
- Manuel Bompard<1%
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Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
22%Gadi Eizenkot
- Gadi Eizenkot22%▼ 34
- Benjamin Netanyahu18%▼ 8
- Naftali Bennett3%▼ 8
15 more
- Avigdor Lieberman3%
- Yair Lapid1%
- Benny Gantz1%
- Yariv Levin1%
- Yair Golan1%
- Itamar Ben Gvir1%▼ 1
- Yossi Cohen1%
- Israel Katz1%
- Gideon Sa'ar1%
- Ayelet Shaked1%
- Amir Ohana1%
- Moshe Feiglin1%
- Yoaz Hendel1%
- Nir Barkat1%
- Yuli Edelstein1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions