2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
63%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep63%▲ 2
- D-House, R-Senate27%▼ 1
- Republicans sweep10%▼ 1
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Install
Closest Governor's Race?
The odds
16%Georgia
- Georgia16%▼ 1
- Nevada12%▼ 1
- Ohio10%▼ 1
- Texas9%▼ 1
- Wisconsin8%
- Kansas8%▲ 1
- Florida8%
- Tennessee6%▲ 2
- Oklahoma5%
- Vermont4%▼ 1
- Oregon4%
- Nebraska3%
24 more
- Alaska2%
- Arkansas2%▼ 1
- New Hampshire2%▲ 1
- Alabama2%▼ 1
- Michigan1%
- Iowa1%▲ 1
- Idaho1%
- Illinois1%
- South Carolina1%
- New Mexico<1%
- Connecticut<1%
- Minnesota<1%
- Maryland<1%
- Rhode Island<1%
- Colorado<1%
- Maine<1%
- California<1%
- Hawaii<1%
- Pennsylvania<1%
- Massachusetts<1%
- New York<1%
- South Dakota<1%
- Wyoming<1%
- Arizona<1%
How the odds have moved
Georgia: 16% on Oct 20, 16% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 16% | ▼ 1 | 16¢ | 17¢ | $6.06 | $3.6K |
| Nevada | 12% | ▼ 1 | 12¢ | 14¢ | $7.30 | $5.5K |
| Ohio | 10% | ▼ 1 | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.17 | $2.3K |
| Texas | 9% | ▼ 1 | 9¢ | 11¢ | $9.26 | $1.6K |
| Wisconsin | 8% | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.24 | $2.3K | |
| Kansas | 8% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 12¢ | $8.70 | $1.2K |
| Florida | 8% | 7¢ | 11¢ | $9.35 | $1.7K | |
| Tennessee | 6% | ▲ 2 | 0¢ | 13¢ | $7.81 | $391 |
| Oklahoma | 5% | 5¢ | 5¢ | $19.61 | $336 | |
| Vermont | 4% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.71 | $1.2K |
| Oregon | 4% | 4¢ | 4¢ | $24.39 | $1.7K | |
| Nebraska | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $24.39 | $292 | |
| Alaska | 2% | 0¢ | 4¢ | $22.73 | $353 | |
| Arkansas | 2% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 4¢ | $22.73 | $266 |
| New Hampshire | 2% | ▲ 1 | 0¢ | 4¢ | $23.81 | $305 |
| Alabama | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $31.25 | $183 |
| Michigan | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $55.56 | $274 | |
| Iowa | 1% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | $50.00 | $383 | |
| Idaho | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $66.67 | $231 | |
| Illinois | 1% | 1¢ | $76.92 | $256 | ||
| South Carolina | 1% | 1¢ | $76.92 | $246 | ||
| New Mexico | <1% | 1¢ | $260 | |||
| Connecticut | <1% | 1¢ | $20 | |||
| Minnesota | <1% | 1¢ | $211 | |||
| Maryland | <1% | 0¢ | $162 | |||
| Rhode Island | <1% | 0¢ | $251 | |||
| Colorado | <1% | 0¢ | $97 | |||
| Maine | <1% | 0¢ | $218 | |||
| California | <1% | 0¢ | $238 | |||
| Hawaii | <1% | 0¢ | $236 | |||
| Pennsylvania | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $252 | ||
| Massachusetts | <1% | 0¢ | $233 | |||
| New York | <1% | 0¢ | $71 | |||
| South Dakota | <1% | 0¢ | $218 | |||
| Wyoming | <1% | 0¢ | $232 | |||
| Arizona | <1% | 0¢ | $157 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Closest Governor
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.