Brazil Presidential Election
79%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro79%▼ 5
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva21%▲ 4
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Spain General Election Winner
The odds
78%PP
- PP78%▲ 2
- PSOE20%▼ 4
How the odds have moved
PP: 84% on Oct 20, 78% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP | 78% | ▲ 2 | 77¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | $76.7K |
| PSOE | 20% | ▼ 4 | 19¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | $98K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Spain General
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Milei calls Socialist Pedro Sánchez a 'dictator,' urges Spaniards to 'kick the Socialists out'On the issue of immigration, the Argentine president accused Pedro Sánchez's left-wing government of encouraging a migrant invasion for electoral reasons, citing the events that took place in the enclave of Ceuta in July. Published October… - Spanish right champions Ceuta migrant crisis as its key topic in election campaignA sense of abandonment in conservative Ceuta following the migrant crisis of July is giving fresh ammunition to right-wing parties ahead of Spain's general election on 29 November. Mari Carmen Mata remains furious with Spanish Prime…
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Bermúdez Breaches Electoral Law in Attack on PSOE Over Waste ChargeThe Provincial Electoral Board of Santa Cruz de Tenerife has instructed the local council to immediately remove a press release titled “Bermúdez accuses PSOE of deceiving Santa Cruz residents about the waste tax.” This statement, published… -
Spain Election Odds: Feijóo Priced As Clear Favourite For 29 November VoteHome » Politics » Spain Election Odds: Feijóo Priced As Clear Favourite For 29 November Vote Alberto Núñez Feijóo is currently the favourite in the Spain election odds at 1/4. Pedro Sánchez is next in the running at 11/4 as it stands. That… -
Poll shows Socialists leading in Catalonia with 18-19 seats, followed by ERC, PP and VoxLatest update: October 14, 2026 03:09 PM The Catalan Socialists (PSC) are projected to win the most seats in Catalonia in the Spanish general election on November 29, while Esquerra Republicana (ERC) are expected to make gains, according… -
Concerns Rise Among Cubans Over Potential Revocation of Spanish NationalityTuesday, October 13, 2026 by Bella Nunez Worries about the possible revocation of their Spanish citizenship loom large for some Cubans who acquired it through the so-called Grandchildren Law. Estela Marina Pérez Cabrera, an expert in… -
Puigdemont expected to delay return to Catalonia until after Spain's November electionFormer Catalan president Carles Puigdemont is expected to wait until after Spain's general election on November 29 before returning to Catalonia, even if the courts formally apply the amnesty covering offences linked to the 2017… - US urges Spain to ‘combat mass migration’ and spend more on defenceWashington's national day greeting to Madrid restates its demands on borders and military spending less than seven weeks before Spain's general election. The United States has urged Spain to “retain strong and secure borders, combat mass…
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Poll points to a majority for the right at Spain's general electionA poll by the Barcelona-based Instituto DYM points to a combination of parties to the right - Partido Popular and Vox - securing a majority in Congress at the general election to be held on November 29. The poll suggests that the PP, who… -
National General Strike called in Spain and the Canary Islands over housing crisisA nationwide general strike has been called in Spain, including the Canary Islands for Wednesday 11th November, with the country's housing crisis at the centre of the mobilisation. The action comes amid mounting pressure over the cost and… -
Spain: Sánchez and Feijóo launch campaignsInbox.lv Spain: Sánchez and Feijóo launch campaigns Although Spain's general election is set to take place on November 29, the battle has already begun. Over the weekend, Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez and his main conservative challenger… - Archive. News of the day 11 October 2026Majorca Daily Bulletin Balearics housing minister: "There is a hopeful future ahead" José Luis Mateo says his government is addressing a shortfall of 17,000 homes. The unanswered questions about the fatal rally crash in Mallorca on Friday…
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- Flávio Bolsonaro79%▼ 5
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions