Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton36%
Install
Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner
The odds
71%Mike Rogers (R)
- Mike Rogers (R)71%▲ 1
- Abdul El-Sayed (D)29%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Mike Rogers (R): 61% on Oct 20, 71% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 24, 9 PM ETMike Rogers (R): 72% → 64%
- Oct 21, 8 PM ETMike Rogers (R): 63% → 68%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Rogers (R) | 71% | ▲ 1 | 69¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | $6.6K |
| Abdul El-Sayed (D) | 29% | ▲ 1 | 28¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | $6.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Michigan Senate, Macomb County
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Trump’s visit to Port Huron today means Macomb County drivers may face travel restrictionsWith President Donald Trump expected to visit Port Huron for a political rally Sunday, Oct. 25, drivers and local residents traveling near Harrison Township and Selfridge Air National Guard Base are advised of traffic delays due to the… - Michigan Senate Candidates Clash in Final DebateGet above the noise Log in to follow your topics, join the conversation, and publish a journal of your own. Mike Rogers challenged Abdul El-Sayed's views on Iran and Israel during the debate. The candidates clashed over immigration and ICE…
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Michigan Senate Race: Black Voters Could Decide the WinnerWith the November 3 midterm elections approaching, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers are competing for support in Michigan’s Black communities. The contest could determine whether Democrats retain the seat being vacated by… - Obama backs El-Sayed in Michigan Senate raceTrump is scheduled to hold his own campaign event in Michigan on Sunday to bolster Republican candidates in the closely contested state, setting up a direct contrast between the two presidents' competing visions for the electorate. Trump…
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Michigan Senate rivals clash over Muslim Brotherhood allegations as Rogers doubles down on El-Sayed2026 Midterms, Detroit MI, Mike Rogers, Abdul El-Sayed, Election Special, AI Agent, Banking Hack, Auto Tariff, Michigan Voters Michigan Democrat Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed accused Republican rival Mike Rogers of questioning his… -
Ilhan Omar called out for bizarre interview answer on marriage controversy'Fox News Sunday' host Shannon Bream and the 'Ruthless Podcast' panel weigh in on Ilhan Omar's comments about her marriage controversy and midterm elections, specifically the Michigan senate race. Ilhan Omar called out for bizarre… -
AIPAC-linked PAC moves $9m to Rogers in Michigan Senate raceDETROIT (MNTV) – A super PAC linked to the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) is reportedly directing up to $9 million to support Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan’s Senate race, days before early voting begins. According to… -
Mike Rogers on Trump calling Abdul El-Sayed a terrorist: ‘I've never called him a terrorist’In an exclusive interview with Meet the Press, Michigan Senate candidate and former Rep. Mike Rogers (R) responds to President Trump calling Abdul El-Sayed a “jihadist” and “violent terrorist.” Kornacki: Where Democrats see openings for… -
Rogers Doubles Down as Michigan Senate Rivals Explode Over Muslim Brotherhood Allegations [WATCH]Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed accused Republican rival Mike Rogers of questioning his loyalty to the United States during a heated Fox News interview Friday. Rogers, meanwhile, stood firmly behind allegations that… -
Why Detroit voters are a key focus in Michigan's Senate raceDetroit has long been a Democratic stronghold. But as Michigan's U.S. Senate race enters its final stretch, both campaigns are putting in significant effort in the city, hoping to boost turnout and persuade undecided voters. Former… -
Sanders donates $1M to El-Sayed campaign in Michigan Senate raceBURLINGTON, Vt. (WCAX) - Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is pouring $1 million into Michigan’s hotly contested U.S. Senate race, a move that highlights the role of money and power in politics as control of the Senate hangs on the outcome of… -
Michigan sheriff to leaves Democratic Party over shift to the leftSaginaw County Sheriff William Federspiel joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to discusses leaving the Democratic Party and endorsing Republican Mike Rogers in the Michigan Senate race. Michigan sheriff to leaves Democratic Party over shift to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions