Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
UAE
43%
▲ 2
43¢
46¢
$2.17
$15.1K
USA
17%
▼ 4
16¢
24¢
$4.20
$1.9K
No Talks by December 31, 2027
14%
▲ 1
14¢
15¢
$6.67
$6.4K
Turkey
13%
▼ 4
13¢
19¢
$5.26
$3.8K
Qatar
4%
0¢
9¢
$11.49
$617
China
4%
▲ 4
3¢
6¢
$16.13
$573
Switzerland
3%
1¢
6¢
$16.39
$598
India
1%
1¢
3¢
$33.33
$674
Saudi Arabia
1%
0¢
3¢
$33.33
$768
Russia
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$325
Italy
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$362
Finland
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$303
Belarus
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$377
Poland
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$302
Other
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$681
Hungary
<1%
1¢
$100.00
$288
Germany
<1%
1¢
$100.00
$469
Austria
<1%
1¢
$100.00
$335
Slovakia
<1%
1¢
$100.00
$290
Kazakhstan
<1%
1¢
$100.00
$285
Serbia
<1%
1¢
$100.00
$158
Azerbaijan
<1%
1¢
$100.00
$215
Egypt
<1%
1¢
$100.00
$166
Brazil
<1%
1¢
$100.00
$216
South Africa
<1%
1¢
$100.00
$166
Other - Europe
<1%
1¢
$100.00
$502
Other - Middle East/North Africa
<1%
1¢
$100.00
$317
Vatican City
<1%
0¢
0¢
$540
Ukraine
<1%
0¢
$679
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.