Fed Decision in October?
93%No change
- No change93%▲ 1
- 25 bps increase7%▼ 1
- 50+ bps increase<1%
2 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
- 25 bps decrease<1%
Install
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
The odds
>99%No change
- No change>99%▲ 1
- Hike 25 bps<1%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
No change: 95% on Oct 20, >99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $56.9K | |
| Hike 25 bps | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $56.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Hike
Search ›-
BGE customers push back on proposed rate hike during public hearingOctober 26, 2026 / 10:47 PM EDT / CBS Baltimore Baltimore Gas and Electric (BGE) customers voiced concerns about rising utility bills and household expenses during a virtual public hearing Monday as the utility seeks approval for a $156… -
BOJ's next rate hike likely in December or January, CNBC Survey showsCNBC's reporter Lisa Kim shares what the market is expecting from this week's Bank of Japan's interest rate decision, especially on inflation assessment after conducting a survey with 16 economists. BOJ's next rate hike likely in December… -
Stranded hikers cling to steep California mountain ridge as helicopter crew swoops inA rescue helicopter returns after three people stranded on a steep section of California’s Sierra Buttes were lifted to safety. Credit: Sierra County Sheriff's Office Three people stranded high on a steep Northern California mountainside… -
Federal Reserve expected to tap brakes on rate hikesThe Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged Wednesday before raising them again in December. The decision would represent a win for the Trump administration, whose allies have urged the central bank against… -
Roger Ferguson: Fed likely to hold rates this week, but two hikes are necessary to tackle inflationFormer Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Roger Ferguson joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's two-day policy meeting this week, state of the economy, the central bank's inflation fight, rate path outlook, and more. Roger Ferguson: Fed likely… -
FOMC Preview: To Hike Or Not To Hike? That's The TrapFed likely pauses in October, but December hike odds stay high. Click for this preview of the upcoming Fed meeting and what it may mean for markets. - The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates at 3.75–4.00% on October 28, but markets… -
Government gazettes 4.23% bread price hikeMBABANE – Government has formally gazetted a 4.23 per cent increase in regulated bread prices, confirming higher maximum prices for loaves of different sizes. The gazette follows Cabinet’s approval of the adjustment, which was reported by… -
Niagara Falls Water Board will consider 2027 rate hikeThe Niagara Falls Water Board is being asked to increase rates next year, at a time when its costs are under control but its revenues are in decline. The Michael C. OâLaughlin Municipal Water Plant on Buffalo Avenue. The Niagara Falls… -
Diesel Gets Third Straight Hike, Petrol Price Also IncreasedThe government has increased petrol and high-speed diesel (HSD) prices, with the new rates taking effect from October 27, 2026. According to the Petroleum Division, petrol has gone up by Rs 1.54 per liter, while diesel has received a… -
OCR preview: Will the Reserve Bank hike on the eve of the election?Mortgage holders should brace for another Official Cash Rate hike this week, with renewed inflation concerns putting paid to any expectations among local economists that the Reserve Bank would hit pause. A 25-basis-point hike in the… -
Two Major Australian Banks Reverse Interest Rate Forecast, Predicting November HikeHome » Trending » Two Major Australian Banks Reverse Interest Rate Forecast, Predicting November Hike The inflation statistics released indicated that the rate for the 12 months ending in July reached 3.5 percent, while the trimmed mean—a… -
Another Hudson Valley Hiker Needs Rescue as Fall Hiking Season ContinuesHudson Valley hiking trails are apparently the place to be this autumn. With that being said, it's been a busy time for first responders across the region. Cold Spring Fire Company No. 1 shared details of a recent hiker rescue on social…
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All the fed ›Fed Decision in December?
75%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase75%
- No change21%
- 50+ bps increase2%
2 more
- 25 bps decrease1%
- 50+ bps decrease1%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
96%0 (0 bps)
- 0 (0 bps)96%
- 1 (25 bps)1%
- 3 (75 bps)<1%
10 more
- 2 (50 bps)<1%
- 4 (100 bps)<1%
- 6 (150 bps)<1%
- 7 (175 bps)<1%
- 5 (125 bps)<1%
- 8 (200 bps)<1%
- 9 (225 bps)<1%
- 10 (250 bps)<1%
- 11 (275 bps)<1%
- 12+ (300+ bps)<1%
Fed Decision in January?
65%No change
- No change65%▼ 4
- 25 bps increase33%▲ 4
- 50+ bps increase1%
2 more
- 25 bps decrease1%
- 50+ bps decrease1%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
4.13%median
2.5%5.5%
Median 4.13%Middle half 4.05% – 4.2%
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
75%2 (50 bps)
- 2 (50 bps)75%▲ 3
- 1 (25 bps)21%▼ 1
- 3 (75 bps)3%▼ 1
2 more
- 4 (100 bps)<1%
- 5+ (125+ bps)<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions