Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton36%
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Wyoming Senate winner? (2026)
The odds
99%Harriet Hageman
- Harriet Hageman99%
- James Byrd1%
How the odds have moved
Harriet Hageman: 99% on Oct 20, 99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harriet Hageman | 99% | 99¢ | 99¢ | 15.8K | ||
| James Byrd | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $90.91 | 11.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Wyoming Senate, Harriet Hageman, James Byrd
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Wyoming congressional delegates endorse Barlow and GrayU.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman listens to a member of her audience during a March 2025 town hall meeting in Afton. U.S. Sens. John Barrasso and Cynthia Lummis, both R-Wyoming. CHEYENNE — Wyoming’s three members of Congress, U.S. Sens. John… -
Wyoming county commissioners oppose Roadless RuleThe Lavender Hills north of the Gros Ventre Road east of Jackson Hole are among 3.2 million acres in Wyoming designated “roadless areas” established by the 2001 Roadless Conservation Rule. JACKSON — The Wyoming County Commissioners… -
Hageman outlines agenda, fields pointed questions at NWC eventU.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman speaks at Northwest College on October 10. John Bernhisel U.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman emphasized energy production, fewer federal regulations and trucking safety during a town hall at Northwest College last… -
Barrasso, Hageman, And Lummis Endorse Chuck Gray And Eric BarlowWyoming congressional delegates Barrasso, Lummis and Hageman bridged the vast differences between Chuck Gray and Eric Barlow on Wednesday, to endorse them both. Gray is an early founder of the Wyoming Freedom Caucus, while Barlow has never… -
U.S. House candidates talk priorities; superintendent finalists debate role of AI, recalibrationFrom left, Democratic U.S. House of Representative candidate Lisa Kinney, Constitution Party candidate Jeff Haggit and Libertarian candidate Shawn Johnson participate in the Wyoming PBS U.S. House of Representative debate Thursday night at… -
Wyoming is taking over Yellowstone’s water authority. What does that really mean?In the midst of unresolved tensions over how to govern the Colorado River, the Department of the Interior is taking new action related to Wyoming's waterways. This time, it has to do with a formal transfer of control – one which, Gov. Mark… -
Election could bring quick changes, Hageman saysRepublican U.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman talks during a forum for U.S. Senate candidates hosted by the League of Women Voters of Wyoming on July 8, 2026, at Casper College. POWELL — Congressional gridlock, the war with Iran and frayed… -
Can 2 former Democratic state lawmakers take Wyoming’s bipartisan message to Washington?James Byrd and Lisa Kinney each spent a decade serving in the Wyoming Legislature and working alongside Republicans. Now, the two former Democratic lawmakers are hoping to bring that experience to the federal level: Byrd is running for the… - Will Wyoming’s Next Congressman Sleep In His Office?Members of Congress must keep a home in the district they serve, and they must be in Washington, D.C., for almost half of the year. That can be expensive for someone making $174K a year. A basic one-bedroom apartment in Washington, DC…
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Democratic candidates tout their bipartisanship at Powell eventDemocratic candidate for U.S. Senate James Byrd talks during a candidate forum hosted by the League of Women Voters of Wyoming at Casper College on Wednesday, July 8, 2026. POWELL — James Byrd and Lisa Kinney each spent a decade serving in… -
Who showed up for Wyoming’s US House debate and key takeawaysby Mike Koshmrl, WyoFile For those familiar with Wyoming political history, it might seem like a foregone conclusion that voters are poised to elect Republican nominee Chuck Gray to be the state’s next at-large representative in the U.S… -
Jackson officials take to the CapitolTown Councilor Kevin Regan, Mayor Arne Jorgensen and Town Manager Tyler Sinclair met with Sen. John Barrasso in Washington D.C. on Sept. 30. Baseball was top of mind when three Town of Jackson officials made their way to Washington, D.C…
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- R-House, D-Senate1%
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.