Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton36%
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Pennsylvania Senate winner? (2028)
The odds
67%Democratic party
- Democratic party67%
- Republican party27%
- John Fetterman6%
How the odds have moved
Democratic party: 69% on Oct 20, 67% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 67% | 67¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 3.2K | |
| Republican party | 27% | 25¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 3.9K | |
| John Fetterman | 6% | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 1.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Pennsylvania Senate, John Fetterman
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Democrats are eyeing a John Fetterman challenge. Chris Deluzio is already laying the groundwork.The House Democrat is “seriously” considering launching a primary campaign against the senator he supported four years ago. Reps. Chris Deluzio (D-Pa.), left, and Summer Lee (D-Pa.) tour Module, a Pittsburgh-based company that provides… -
Pennsylvania Senate Approves School Cellphone RestrictionsOn the last voting session day before the general election, Pennsylvania lawmakers approved a bill barring students from having cellphones in K-12 schools. Gov. Josh Shapiro is expected to sign it. IE 11 Not Supported Preparing K-12 and… -
‘Come join us,’ former GOP Pa. lawmaker urges John Fetterman to switch partiesA former Republican state lawmaker has joined the chorus of those encouraging Democratic Sen. John Fetterman to switch parties. Matthew Dowling of Fayette County, who served three terms in the House before a driving under the influence… -
Pennsylvania Senate Passes Statewide "Bell-to-Bell" School Cell Phone Ban| NewsRadio WILK HARRISBURG, PA — Pennsylvania public schools are one step closer to prohibiting student mobile device use throughout the school day after the state Senate passed Senate Bill 1014 on Wednesday by a 47-3 vote. Having cleared… - How John Fetterman could save republicans if Democrats win the Senate.The Greatest News Site On The Internet. Home of CFP Nation. Go To Article -- reason.com Posted by Kane on October 22, 2026 4:44 pmNEWS JUNKIES -- CHECK OUT OUR HOMEPAGE < CITIZEN FREE PRESS -- HOMEPAGE
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Letter to the editor: Our congressmen should be reigning in TrumpRep. Guy Reschenthaler does not deserve another term. He is not doing a good job of taking care of the people’s needs. He and Sens. Dave McCormick and John Fetterman are failing to rein in President Trump. Why did they not stop him from… -
A bipartisan fundraising committee for Sens. Fetterman and McCormick has disclosed its first donorsWASHINGTON – A rare bipartisan joint fundraising committee backed by Pennsylvania Sens. John Fetterman (D) and Dave McCormick (R) drew primarily... -
Senator Mitch McConnell, 81, hospitalized after collapsing in hotelSenate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell was hospitalized on Wednesday after falling in a hotel, his office announced. The Republican Party leader from Kentucky had attended a private dinner when he “tripped and fell” at a swanky hotel in… -
House Democrat reportedly giving 'serious thought' to Fetterman primary challengeHUNT VALLEY, Md. (TNND) — Senator John Fetterman has irritated Democrats around the country as he breaks party ranks to support key Republican initiatives, back Israel's regional wars and bash his progressive colleagues to conservative… -
Why James Carville said he'd rather GOP win close election than DemocratsIn October, just weeks before Election Day, some people on social media claimed James Carville, a long-time political consultant and Democratic personality, said there's a scenario where he'd rather Republicans keep control of the House of… -
Legislation updating rules regarding raffle ticket payment approved by state SenateThe Pennsylvania Senate this week unanimously approved legislation that would allow eligible nonprofit organizations to accept electronic payments for raffle tickets. Until now, groups like youth sports leagues, volunteer fire departments… - Fundraising Update: Senator John Fetterman just disclosed $424.1K of new fundraisingSenator John Fetterman just disclosed $424.1K of fundraising in a Q3 FEC disclosure filed on October 15th, 2026. This is the 300th most from all Q3 reports we have seen from politicians so far this year. 99.6% came from individual donors…
Related markets
All senate ›Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
63%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party63%▼ 4
- Republican Party37%▲ 2
Texas Senate Election Winner
64%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)64%
- Ken Paxton (R)37%
Alaska Senate winner? (2026)
75%Democratic party
- Democratic party75%▼ 1
- Republican party25%
Michigan Senate Election Winner
71%Abdul El-Sayed (D)
- Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%▲ 1
- Mike Rogers (R)29%
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
65%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep65%▼ 2
- D-House, R-Senate26%▲ 1
- Republicans sweep9%
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.