Texas Senate winner? (2026)
64%James Talarico
- James Talarico64%▼ 2
- Ken Paxton37%▲ 3
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Arizona Senate winner? (2028)
The odds
73%Democratic party
- Democratic party73%
- Republican party26%
How the odds have moved
Democratic party: 75% on Oct 20, 73% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 73% | 72¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 9.5K | |
| Republican party | 26% | 24¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 6.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Arizona Senate
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Arizona Senate delays Hobbs pay-to-play probe until after election100th Anniversary Sale! Get 2 years of digital access for only $100/year Hearings postponed: Sen. David Farnsworth says the Senate's Sunshine Residential investigation will have no further public updates until after the election. Donations… -
Arizona Senate probe of Hobbs won't happen before electionPHOENIX — The heavily promoted pre-election public investigation of Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs by Senate Republicans over allegations of pay-to-play is not going to happen. Republican Sen. David Farnsworth told Capitol Media Services… -
Report: Posts from Talarico's Adoptive Dad Unearthed - Show 'Best Man' Dem Knows Joked About Christ and Degenerate Different Way to Kill HimThe most notorious seminarian in Texas is getting a little more notoriety. James Talarico, the Democratic candidate for Senate in the Lone Star State, has built a campaign attempting to highlight his religious background. Talarico’s past… -
Mayes Accused Of Voting To Raise Utility Rates Six TimesRepublican attorney general nominee and Arizona Senate President Warren Petersen is targeting Democratic incumbent Kris Mayes’ utility-regulation record in a new campaign advertisement, contrasting her votes on the Arizona Corporation… -
A Houseboat Vacation and a Failed CourtshipAs we have seen, Ronald Reagan didn’t have a lot of obvious candidates to choose from when he set out to nominate the first female Supreme Court justice. It’s still remarkable that Sandra Day O’Connor, as a recently appointed judge on… -
Vice President Of United States Has Good Joke About ‘Gay’ James Talarico, Other Republicans Say He Cut His Penis Off“And that speaks a lot louder than the suit he’s wearing that doesn’t look so great, or than anything, frankly. He was maybe the best attorney — and everybody admits it,” Trump continued, using “everybody” as shorthand for “people… -
Kari Lake pushes baseless ‘bottom surgery’ conspiracy about James TalaricoKari Lake at the 2026 White House Correspondents’ Association Dinner held at the Washington Hilton on April 25, 2026 in Washington, D.C. (Getty Images) Senior adviser to the United States Agency for Global Media, Kari Lake, has fuelled a… -
Supreme Court leaves $122K sanctions in Lake-Finchem case intactSanctions remain in place: The U.S. Supreme Court declined to review $122,200 in penalties against attorneys Andrew Parker and Kurt Olson. A federal judge found their 2022 challenge to Arizona's voting machines lacked adequate factual and… -
Andy Biggs Stresses Affordability, Border Security In ArizonaU.S. Rep. Andy Biggs, R-Arizona, is framing his campaign for governor around economic affordability, water management and border security, drawing a sharp contrast with the Democratic incumbent, Gov. Katie Hobbs. In an interview with “The… -
Kari Lake turns James Talarico’s flu recovery into a ridiculous ‘bottom surgery’ conspiracy theoryAn AI-generated answer about surgical recovery became fodder for a baseless attack against the LGBTQ+ ally, whose campaign had already explained his illness. Kari Lake walks the red carpet at the Turning Point USA Inaugural-Eve Ball at the… -
Politics Unplugged (Full Episode) Oct. 11, 2026On "Politics Unplugged," political editor Dennis Welch sits down with Republican gubernatorial candidate Andy Biggs for a wide-ranging interview weeks before election day. The conversation is dominated by Governor Katie Hobbs'… -
2026 Arizona Senate 9th Legislative District: The candidatesKJZZ 2026 Arizona Senate 9th Legislative District: The candidates Learn more about the candidates for the 2026 Arizona Senate 9th Legislative District race. Bridget Fitzgibbons is a first time legislative candidate and ran unchallenged in…
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All senate ›Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
68%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party68%
- Republican Party33%
South Carolina Senate winner? (2026)
80%Darline Graham
- Darline Graham80%▼ 2
- Annie Andrews21%▲ 2
Texas Senate Election Winner
64%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)64%▼ 3
- Ken Paxton (R)37%▲ 3
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
66%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep66%▼ 2
- D-House, R-Senate24%▲ 2
- Republicans sweep9%▲ 1
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Maine Senate winner? (2026)
63%Troy Jackson
- Troy Jackson63%▼ 1
- Susan Collins37%▲ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.