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Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: $88.50 on Sep 24, $99.99 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $57.99 | 99% | ▲ 1 | 98¢ | $1.01 | 329 | |
| Above $58.49 | 97% | 75¢ | $1.03 | 341 | ||
| Above $58.99 | 97% | 98¢ | $1.03 | 332 | ||
| Above $59.49 | 97% | 75¢ | $1.03 | 322 | ||
| Above $59.99 | 97% | 93¢ | $1.03 | 810 | ||
| Above $60.49 | 97% | 75¢ | $1.03 | 820 | ||
| Above $60.99 | 97% | 75¢ | $1.03 | 815 | ||
| Above $61.49 | 97% | 75¢ | $1.03 | 1.3K | ||
| Above $61.99 | 97% | 75¢ | $1.03 | 1.3K | ||
| Above $62.49 | 97% | ▼ 1 | 75¢ | $1.03 | 1.3K | |
| Above $62.99 | 97% | 70¢ | $1.03 | 1.8K | ||
| Above $63.49 | 97% | 76¢ | $1.03 | 1.6K | ||
| Above $63.99 | 97% | ▼ 1 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.1K |
| Above $64.49 | 97% | ▼ 1 | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 473 |
| Above $64.99 | 97% | 23¢ | $1.03 | 966 | ||
| Above $65.49 | 97% | ▼ 1 | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 962 |
| Above $65.99 | 97% | 23¢ | $1.03 | 810 | ||
| Above $66.49 | 97% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 839 | |
| Above $66.99 | 97% | 24¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 524 | |
| Above $67.49 | 97% | 24¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 592 | |
| Above $67.99 | 97% | 24¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 865 | |
| Above $68.49 | 97% | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.2K | |
| Above $68.99 | 97% | 96¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 973 | |
| Above $69.49 | 97% | 25¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 996 | |
| Above $69.99 | 97% | ▲ 4 | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.7K |
| Above $70.49 | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.5K | |
| Above $70.99 | 97% | 99¢ | $1.03 | 3.5K | ||
| Above $71.49 | 97% | 96¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.6K | |
| Above $71.99 | 97% | 76¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 831 | |
| Above $72.49 | 97% | ▲ 1 | 92¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 826 |
| $73 or above | 97% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 50.4K | |
| $74 or above | 97% | 97¢ | $1.03 | 17.6K | ||
| $75 or above | 97% | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 24.8K | |
| $76 or above | 97% | ▲ 3 | 84¢ | $1.03 | 15.9K | |
| $77 or above | 97% | ▼ 2 | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 33.0K |
| $78 or above | 97% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 9.0K | |
| $79 or above | 94% | ▲ 1 | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 9.6K |
| $80 or above | 94% | 86¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 25.0K | |
| $81 or above | 94% | 82¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 13.9K | |
| $82 or above | 94% | 74¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 16.2K | |
| $83 or above | 94% | ▲ 3 | 62¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 15.8K |
| $84 or above | 94% | 82¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 17.0K | |
| $85 or above | 94% | 72¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 18.3K | |
| $86 or above | 94% | 80¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 14.1K | |
| $87 or above | 94% | 77¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 19.1K | |
| $88 or above | 93% | ▼ 2 | 87¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 14.9K |
| $89 or above | 93% | 72¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 15.2K | |
| $90 or above | 89% | ▼ 1 | 85¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 26.9K |
| $91 or above | 87% | ▲ 2 | 83¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 20.1K |
| $92 or above | 86% | ▼ 2 | 60¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 20.2K |
| $93 or above | 86% | ▲ 2 | 64¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 24.3K |
| $94 or above | 80% | 47¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 30.2K | |
| $95 or above | 76% | ▼ 3 | 43¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 21.7K |
| $96 or above | 75% | ▼ 1 | 73¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 17.2K |
| $97 or above | 71% | ▲ 1 | 51¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | 14.7K |
| $98 or above | 67% | ▼ 5 | 50¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 30.7K |
| $99 or above | 50% | ▼ 22 | 41¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 16.0K |
| $100 or above | 50% | ▼ 10 | 48¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 42.6K |
| $101 or above | 48% | ▼ 7 | 45¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 21.5K |
| $102 or above | 44% | ▲ 20 | 42¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 15.4K |
| $103 or above | 38% | ▲ 7 | 36¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 16.2K |
| $104 or above | 34% | ▼ 12 | 32¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 11.8K |
| $105 or above | 29% | ▼ 7 | 27¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 34.9K |
| $106 or above | 22% | ▼ 11 | 21¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 13.4K |
| $107 or above | 22% | ▼ 7 | 20¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 14.9K |
| $108 or above | 21% | ▼ 5 | 20¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 18.6K |
| $109 or above | 16% | ▼ 6 | 15¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 15.3K |
| $110 or above | 14% | ▼ 5 | 12¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 20.6K |
| $111 or above | 12% | ▼ 5 | 10¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 22.8K |
| $112 or above | 11% | ▼ 3 | 9¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 25.0K |
| $113 or above | 9% | ▼ 4 | 7¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 19.0K |
| $114 or above | 8% | ▼ 5 | 6¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 24.4K |
| $115 or above | 7% | ▼ 3 | 5¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 26.3K |
| $116 or above | 6% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 25.4K |
| $117 or above | 5% | ▼ 4 | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 100.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: oil prices, crude oil, OPEC
Search ›-
Crude oil price slips from six-month highs despite supply concernsOil prices fell on Monday after surging to near six-month highs late last week, although ongoing attacks on Saudi Arabia kept supply concerns in focus. US crude futures were down $1.60, or 1.55%, at $101.67 per barrel by 0018 GMT… -
Crude oil prices, US Fed policy decision to steer rupee, bonds this weekSoaring oil prices and the US Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision will be key drivers of the Indian rupee and government bonds this week, while domestic liquidity conditions pose an additional challenge for bonds. The rupee settled… -
US Equity Futures Climb as Crude Oil Price Dips: Markets Wrap(Bloomberg) — US stock futures advanced and crude oil retreated as traders weighed the latest geopolitical developments over Iran and looked ahead to a string of central bank rate decisions this week. Asian stocks looked set for a mixed… -
Fed policy, Q2 earnings, crude oil prices among key market triggers next weekStock market investors will closely track the US Federal Reserve's policy decision Mumbai: Stock market investors will closely track the US Federal Reserve's policy decision, a packed corporate earnings calendar, crude oil price movements… -
Crude Oil Prices Fall Over 1% After Hitting Near Six-Month Highs, but Brent Remains Above $115 and WTI Near $101.50; Will Saudi Attacks and US-Iran Tensions Push Oil Towards $120?Crude oil prices eased on Monday after a sharp rally late last week, but both major benchmarks continued to trade above $100 per barrel as escalating tensions in the Middle East heightened concerns about the security of global energy… -
Crude Oil Prices Near $120 Amid West Asia Tensions, US Fed Rate Decision & Supply Risks In FocusNew Delhi: Global crude oil prices are approaching the USD 120 per barrel mark as escalating tensions in West Asia and the upcoming US Federal Reserve policy decision keep energy markets on edge. Analysts expect another volatile week amid… -
FPIs withdraw ₹48,056 cr from equities in October so far amid elevated crude oil pricesPublished - October 25, 2026 01:56 pm IST - New Delhi Foreign investors have withdrawn ₹48,056 crore from Indian equities in October so far, amid elevated crude oil prices, escalating West Asia tensions, concerns over inflation and weak… -
Oil Price Today (October 26): Crude oil at $115, retreats from 6-month high despite lingering concerns. What are experts saying?US crude futures declined $1.82, or 2%, to $101.48 a barrel, while Brent crude futures dropped $1.50, or 1.72%, to $115 a barrel. Both benchmarks had settled nearly $3 higher on Friday following Houthi attacks in Saudi Arabia that… -
FPI selling stands at Rs 53,337 crore in Oct so far amid elevated crude oil pricesForeign portfolio investors sold Rs 53,337 crore worth of Indian equities in October so far as elevated crude oil prices, market weakness and economic pressures weighed on investor sentiment. FPI selling stands at Rs 53,337 crore in Oct so… -
FPIs withdraw Rs 48,056 cr from equities in Oct so far amid elevated crude oil pricesForeign investors withdrew significant funds from Indian equities in October amid concerns over inflation and crude oil prices. Despite this, there were signs of moderation in selling with two days of net buying. The overall FPI outflows… -
Gift Nifty Today: Sensex, Nifty Likely To Open Flat As Crude Oil Tops $115Investors will closely track developments in West Asia, movements in crude oil prices and the ongoing September-quarter earnings season for directional cues. With oil prices remaining elevated, concerns over inflation, corporate margins… -
Oil Prices Rise Despite Middle East Export RecoveryU.S. Dips Into Strategic Oil Reserve Again Amid Supply Disruptions Large WCS discounts will persist… Global oil inventories are dangerously… NABEP is deploying 11 workover… Reports about recovering oil flows in the Persian Gulf and the Red…
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All commodities ›Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 26, 2026?
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $104.63.
- Reaches $100>99%
- Reaches $10546%
- Falls to $9537%
- Falls to $9011%
Already reached: ↑ $90, ↑ $95, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↑ $90
Diesel price on Election Day (November 3, 2026)
New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
Traders see as low as $3,933.
- Reaches $4,20012%
- Reaches $4,3003%
- Falls to $4,10092%
- Falls to $4,00092%
Already reached: ↓ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions