KalshiFinance › CommoditiesCloses Dec 30 · $25K today · $224K traded · $3.7K at stake · prices read just now
The odds
4.37median
3.605.10
Median4.37Middle half3.89 – 4.50
How the odds have moved
Median: 4.18 on Oct 20, 4.37 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 3.7000
90%
▼ 10
70¢
$1.12
23.0K
Above 3.8000
90%
▼ 5
65¢
92¢
$1.09
34.1K
Above 3.9000
74%
▼ 25
71¢
77¢
$1.30
45.7K
Above 4.0000
68%
▼ 20
61¢
86¢
$1.16
53.7K
Above 4.1000
68%
▼ 18
70¢
84¢
$1.19
41.7K
Above 4.2000
68%
▼ 17
71¢
83¢
$1.20
30.9K
Above 4.3000
68%
▲ 41
54¢
78¢
$1.28
28.1K
Above 4.4000
43%
▲ 2
45¢
85¢
$1.18
25.0K
Above 4.5000
25%
▼ 2
17¢
26¢
$3.85
18.5K
Above 4.6000
25%
▼ 6
20¢
40¢
$2.50
30.8K
Above 4.7000
25%
▲ 22
10¢
32¢
$3.13
21.2K
Above 4.8000
10%
▼ 16
37¢
$2.70
65.7K
Above 4.9000
10%
▲ 6
13¢
35¢
$2.86
34.7K
Above 5.0000
10%
▲ 8
20¢
$5.00
33.4K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions