Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.64%median
14%34%
Median 28.64%Middle half 26.29% – 31.03%
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South Dakota Senate election: Mike Rounds vote percent
The odds
56%median
48%68%
Median 56%Middle half 53.2% – 58.88%
How the odds have moved
Median: 56.74% on Oct 19, 56% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 92% | 88¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 52% | 84% | 79¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 1.00 | |
| At least 54% | 69% | 64¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 10.00 | |
| At least 56% | 50% | 45¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 44.00 | |
| At least 58% | 32% | 27¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 61.00 | |
| At least 60% | 16% | 11¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 220 | |
| At least 62% | 7% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 212 |
| At least 64% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 66% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Dakota Senate, Mike Rounds
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Mike Rounds Leads in South Dakota Senate RaceA new KELOLAND News/Emerson College poll in South Dakota finds Mike Rounds (R) leading Brian Bengs (I) in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 42%. Try Political Wire free for 60 days Members get Talking Points analysis, Trending News, the Polling… -
Mike Rounds Appears Safe in South Dakota Senate RaceA new Quantus Insights poll in South Dakota finds Mike Rounds (R) leading Brian Bengs (I) in the U.S. Senate race, 57% to 36%. South Dakota Senate Race Mike Rounds (R) 57% Brian Bengs (I) 36% Quantus Insights poll · likely voters · ±4.1% A… -
Sen. Mike Rounds' office evacuated as suspicious letters target dozens of lawmakers nationwideKOTA Territory News Sen. Mike Rounds' office evacuated as suspicious letters target dozens of lawmakers nationwide Land Surveyors Gather at Mount Rushmore to Mark America’s 250th and Roll Out Modernized Mapping System As Summer Crowds… -
Ranchers Say Trump’s Beef Imports Have GOP Senator Mike Rounds ‘Treading Water’ In South DakotaPresident Donald Trump’s foreign beef imports have backfired on Republican South Dakota Sen. Mike Rounds’ reelection campaign, South Dakota cattle ranchers told the Daily Caller News Foundation. Rounds faces a competitive race against… - Mike Rounds Leading in South DakotaAs reported by Morning Score: Sen. Mike Rounds (R-S.D.) leads independent Brian Bengs 54% to 37%, according to a Rounds internal poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies (500 likely voters, Oct. 12-16, MoE +/- 4.4 percentage points)…
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I'm independent Brian Bengs. This is why I want South Dakota's vote for SenateIâm running to put South Dakota first, and to work with anyone, whatever their politics, when itâs in the interest of our state. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc. via Getty Images) More than at any time in my life, I believe our… -
Exclusive / Poll shows big lead for South Dakota Republican RoundsRepublican Sen. Mike Rounds of South Dakota leads in his Senate race by more than 20 points, according to a new poll shared first with Semafor, a sign that any blue wave in November will have its limits. Rounds is trouncing independent… -
South Dakota election polls reaching drastically different conclusionsSIOUX FALLS, S.D. (Dakota News Now) - Election Day is right around the corner, with many key seats up for grabs. The races are heating up, and candidates are keeping score. However, polling is proving to be complicated with very different… -
South Dakota 2010 Election ResultsMultiState 2010 results › South Dakota Another state… Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts… -
Poll: Sen. Rounds leads challenger Bengs 56-37%(South Dakota News Watch) - Republican Sen. Mike Rounds leads Independent challenger Brian Bengs 56% to 37%, according to the latest South Dakota Poll sponsored by News Watch and the Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South… -
Democrat Aaron Matson shares vision for SD District 11SIOUX FALLS, S.D. (KELO)-- Election day is right around the corner, and KELOLAND News interviewed several Sioux Falls candidates all vying to be South Dakota's next batch of lawmakers. Republican Chris Karr, and Democrat Aaron Matson are… -
Wyden pushes bills to tax data centers, aid displaced workersSenate Finance ranking Democrat Ron Wyden of Oregon released the text of a pair of bills Friday aimed at blunting the impact of artificial intelligence on the American workforce — an early signal of potential Democratic priorities if the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions