Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.64%median
14%34%
Median 28.64%Middle half 26.29% – 31.03%
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South Dakota Senate election: Brian Bengs vote percent
The odds
43.5%median
32%50%
Median 43.5%Middle half 40.65% – 46.23%
How the odds have moved
Median: 41.36% on Oct 19, 43.5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 36% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 38% | 92% | ▲ 1 | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | |
| At least 40% | 81% | ▲ 1 | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 292 |
| At least 42% | 64% | ▲ 1 | 59¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 344 |
| At least 44% | 46% | ▲ 1 | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | |
| At least 46% | 27% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 301 |
| At least 48% | 14% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 30.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Dakota Senate, Brian Bengs
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I'm independent Brian Bengs. This is why I want South Dakota's vote for SenateIâm running to put South Dakota first, and to work with anyone, whatever their politics, when itâs in the interest of our state. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc. via Getty Images) More than at any time in my life, I believe our… -
Mike Rounds Appears Safe in South Dakota Senate RaceA new Quantus Insights poll in South Dakota finds Mike Rounds (R) leading Brian Bengs (I) in the U.S. Senate race, 57% to 36%. South Dakota Senate Race Mike Rounds (R) 57% Brian Bengs (I) 36% Quantus Insights poll · likely voters · ±4.1% A… -
Mike Rounds Leads in South Dakota Senate RaceA new KELOLAND News/Emerson College poll in South Dakota finds Mike Rounds (R) leading Brian Bengs (I) in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 42%. Try Political Wire free for 60 days Members get Talking Points analysis, Trending News, the Polling… -
Community Connection with Brian Bengs, Independent Candidate for US Senatemykxlg.com - The Latest: US ties with Ukraine hit a new low as Trump slights Zelenskyy and eases up on Russia - US stocks rise after companies deliver strong profits and oil prices retreat - AP Joy Wonder Discovery SummaryBrief at 2:48… -
Exclusive / Poll shows big lead for South Dakota Republican RoundsRepublican Sen. Mike Rounds of South Dakota leads in his Senate race by more than 20 points, according to a new poll shared first with Semafor, a sign that any blue wave in November will have its limits. Rounds is trouncing independent… -
South Dakota election polls reaching drastically different conclusionsSIOUX FALLS, S.D. (Dakota News Now) - Election Day is right around the corner, with many key seats up for grabs. The races are heating up, and candidates are keeping score. However, polling is proving to be complicated with very different… -
Poll: Sen. Rounds leads challenger Bengs 56-37%Republican Sen. Mike Rounds leads Independent challenger Brian Bengs 56% to 37%, according to the latest South Dakota Poll sponsored by News Watch and the Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South Dakota. The Oct. 12-14… -
US Senate Polls continue to be consistent. Bengs can shut it down, and start packing his campaign office today.It’s not just a double punch for Brian Bengs – it’s a flurry of body blows as South Dakota remembers it’s roots and prepares to send one of it’s own back to the US Senate, shaking off the carpetbagger dreams of someone who has only lived… -
Ranchers Say Trump’s Beef Imports Have GOP Senator Mike Rounds ‘Treading Water’ In South DakotaPresident Donald Trump’s foreign beef imports have backfired on Republican South Dakota Sen. Mike Rounds’ reelection campaign, South Dakota cattle ranchers told the Daily Caller News Foundation. Rounds faces a competitive race against… -
Meet the Democratic Senate Candidates Who Are Overperforming. And Underperforming.We can make a preliminary assessment of where individual candidates are overperforming and underperforming by looking at three data sets: the generic congressional ballot poll average, Senate race poll averages, and the Cook Political… -
South Dakota 2026 Poll: Republican Sen. Rounds Leads Independent Bengs 50% to 42%Rhoden Holds Double-Digit Lead in Gubernatorial Race A new Emerson College Polling/KELOLAND poll finds 50% of voters support incumbent Republican Senator Mike Rounds, while 42% support independent candidate Brian Bengs. Eight percent are… -
New poll shows Rounds with an even greater lead. “A Settled Race” for Rounds at this point.A new poll is out tonight from a group called Quantus Insights which comes on top of the poll recently released by Public Opinion Strategies showing Rounds up by 17%. Quantus Insights notes that in a poll conducted in Mid-October.. Rounds…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions