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New Hampshire Senate election: John Sununu vote percent
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 45.14% on Oct 19, 45.25% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 40% | 97% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 42% | 90% | ▼ 2 | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | |
| At least 44% | 69% | ▼ 3 | 65¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 251 |
| At least 46% | 39% | ▼ 7 | 34¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 1.9K |
| At least 48% | 17% | ▼ 4 | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 50.00 |
| At least 50% | 5% | ▼ 2 | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| At least 52% | 3% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 54% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Hampshire Senate, John Sununu
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John Sununu is running on his family’s legacy in New Hampshire. His brother is staying on the sidelinesThe campaign signs across New Hampshire read “Sununu” in block letters. They’re for Republican Senate nominee John E. Sununu, who held the seat from 2003 to 2009 and is running to replace retiring Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. But they… -
The Sununu Dynasty Faces Biggest Test in New Hampshire Senate RaceOct 21, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Oct 21, 2026 at 07:04 AM EDT New Hampshire’s Senate race will test the power of the Sununu name as former Senator John Sununu hopes to boost Republicans in midterm elections that will likely prove complicated… -
Pappas Eyes History In Tight New Hampshire Senate FightChris Pappas is on track to put New Hampshire at the center of a possible Senate milestone. If elected, the Democratic nominee would become the first openly gay man to serve in the chamber. For Pappas, though, that distinction is not the… -
ROUNDUP: In A Bizarre Closing Message, John Sununu Tries and Fails to Run Away from Donald TrumpTrump-endorsed John Sununu is our official opponent in this race, and right-wing forces are pouring in millions to buy this seat for him. Rush a donation to keep NH blue and help Democrats win back the Senate. “Do you think that works?”… -
Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Supreme Court blocks student IDs for voting in NH, aiding GOP in 2026 Senate raceEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Facing no contest in re-election bid, Concord Sen. Reardon looks to housing, child careState Sen. Tara Reardon, a Concord Democrat, is sailing toward reelection to the New Hampshire Senate. She was unopposed in the Democratic primary, and her Republican opponent is not mounting a campaign. Reardon is a well-known Concord… -
Kelly Ayotte endorsed in GOP gubernatorial primary by union for N.H. state employeesCONCORD, N.H. — The State Employees’ Association, a labor union that represents more than 10,000 workers across New Hampshire, endorsed former US senator Kelly Ayotte on Wednesday in the state’s GOP primary for governor. The group’s… -
Cinde Warmington releases second TV ad in N.H. governor’s raceDemocratic gubernatorial candidate Cinde Warmington is doubling down on television advertising to make her pitch to Granite Staters. Her campaign released its second TV ad on Monday. It alludes to the challenges she encountered growing up… -
Reuters: As Winter Nears, Heating Oil Emerges as Hurdle for Republicans in U.S. Senate RacesTrump-endorsed John Sununu is our official opponent in this race, and right-wing forces are pouring in millions to buy this seat for him. Rush a donation to keep NH blue and help Democrats win back the Senate. MANCHESTER, N.H. — As… -
Union endorses Democrat Cinde Warmington, also eyes GOP race for N.H. governorA labor union that represents more than 10,000 workers across New Hampshire pledged its support Thursday for Cinde Warmington in the Democratic gubernatorial primary, showing that her top rival doesn’t have a monopoly on organized labor… -
Joyce Craig wins organized labor endorsements in race for N.H. governorWith two contested primaries in full swing, one gubernatorial candidate won the support Tuesday of the New Hampshire AFL-CIO, solidifying her status as organized labor’s favorite in the race. Democratic candidate Joyce Craig, the former…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions