Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Minnesota Senate election: Michele Tafoya vote percent
The odds
45.75%median
36%54%
Median 45.75%Middle half 43.94% – 47.76%
How the odds have moved
Median: 45.35% on Oct 20, 45.75% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 40% | 95% | 94¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 215 | |
| At least 42% | 91% | ▲ 1 | 87¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 5.00 |
| At least 44% | 75% | ▲ 1 | 72¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 482 |
| At least 46% | 47% | ▲ 1 | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 986 |
| At least 48% | 22% | ▲ 1 | 18¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 1.0K |
| At least 50% | 7% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | |
| At least 52% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 78.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Minnesota Senate, Michele Tafoya
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Michele Tafoya says Iran war has gone on "longer than I think people were ready for"Some Republican candidates are vowing to break with President Trump on certain issues, including U.S. Senate candidate Michele Tafoya of Minnesota. CBS News correspondent Jonah Kaplan spoke with Tafoya as well as her opponent, Peggy… -
Minnesota GOP Senate candidate Michele Tafoya on where she would break with Trump if electedNew polling shows Minnesota Republican Senate candidate Michele Tafoya making gains in her race against Democratic Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan. CBS News correspondent Jonah Kaplan spoke with Tafoya about how she would serve as a check on… -
Election 2026 Minnesota SenatePost Register - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, a Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate, speaks at a campaign rally at Lincoln Park Middle School Saturday, Oct… -
Poll: Democrat Peggy Flanagan Narrowly Leads Republican Michele Tafoya in Minnesota U.S. Senate RaceDemocrat Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan is narrowly leading renowned sports broadcaster Republican Michele Tafoya in the Minnesota U.S. Senate race, new polling shows. A Rasmussen Reports survey released on Thursday shows Flanagan leading Tafoya… -
Cook Political Report Shifts Minnesota Senate Race toward GOP Candidate Michele Tafoya!This is big news! The Cook Political Report shifted Minnesota’s US Senate race toward Michele Tafoya, the polished and unapologetic Republican candidate. Tafoya is running against a wild-eyed far left socialist, Lt. Governor Peggy… -
Senate Race in Minnesota Tightens as Peggy Flanagan and Michele Tafoya Face OffHome » Trending » Senate Race in Minnesota Tightens as Peggy Flanagan and Michele Tafoya Face Off Recent updates from the Cook Political Report indicate that the dynamics of the race have shifted, moving from a “likely Democrat” rating to… - Poll: Flanagan Leads Tafoya in Minnesota Senate RaceBy Jim Thomas | Saturday, 24 October 2026 10:15 AM EDT Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan holds a narrow lead over Republican Michele Tafoya, a former NFL sideline reporter, in the state's open U.S. Senate race amid scrutiny of a welfare…
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Kornacki: Tide ‘Working Against’ Democrat in Minnesota Senate RaceWednesday on NBC’s “TODAY,” network chief data analyst Steve Kornacki said Minnesota’s tight Senate race could move in the GOP’s favor because Democratic nominee, Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, has faced a lot of criticism over the… -
Minnesota Senate: Liar? ‘Give Me a Freakin’ Break’Mark Trahant examines the political attacks against Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, a citizen of the White Earth Nation, arguing that President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Republican challenger Michele Tafoya and negative polling… -
MCCL Sells Out on Life, Supports Pro-Abortion Michele Tafoya Posted by Action 4 Liberty 5sc on October 22, 2026 · Add your reactionAs seen in previous A4L reporting, Michele Tafoya beat around the bush on the topic of abortion during the party endorsement process and primary election but released a pro-abortion commercial now that she is the GOP nominee, insulting… -
Cook Political Report shifts Minnesota Senate race toward GOP while South Carolina race moves leftWashington Examiner Election forecaster Cook Political Report shifted Minnesota’s Senate race toward GOP nominee Michele Tafoya on Tuesday, while shifting two other Senate races in favor of of Democrats in Mississippi and South Carolina… -
Fraud Scandal Seizes Center Stage in Fierce Minnesota Senate Race [WATCH]With Election Day only days away, Minnesota’s Senate contest is tightening as allegations of widespread fraud dominate the campaign. Republican Michelle Tafoya and Democratic Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan confronted the issue during a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions