Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
26.85%median
14%34%
Median 26.85%Middle half 23.46% – 29.15%
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Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
The odds
49.69%median
42%60%
Median 49.69%Middle half 47.67% – 51.2%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 97% | ▼ 1 | 94¢ | $1.03 | 649 | |
| At least 46% | 93% | ▲ 2 | 91¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 1.2K |
| At least 48% | 72% | ▲ 2 | 71¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 1.4K |
| At least 50% | 46% | ▲ 5 | 34¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 789 |
| At least 52% | 11% | ▼ 2 | 6¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 550 |
| At least 54% | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| At least 56% | 3% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 | 100 | |
| At least 58% | 3% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Michigan Senate, Abdul El-Sayed
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Michigan's Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed campaigns in GOP strongholdMichigan's Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed is campaigning in the GOP stronghold of Michigan's Upper Peninsula, an area that hasn't voted for a Democrat in Congress in over a decade. Michigan's Democratic Senate candidate… -
AOC sends $1M to Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan Senate raceWASHINGTON — Democratic socialist Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is funneling $1 million to left-wing Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed, further establishing herself as a progressive power broker ahead of the 2026 midterms as part of the… -
Michigan Senate race: Abdul El-Sayed struggles with key Democratic votersFox News Michigan Senate race: Abdul El-Sayed struggles with key Democratic voters Voters Melanie Rutherford and Marcus Bowman discuss candidate Abdul El-Sayed's final push in the Michigan Senate race. They analyze his struggles to secure… -
Mike Rogers spars with CNN over Abdul El-Sayed press coverageFox News Mike Rogers spars with CNN over Abdul El-Sayed press coverage Michigan Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers accused the press of protecting his opponent, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed, on CNN's "State of the Union." -
CBS reporter apologizes and deletes post praising Abdul El-Sayed hecklerJan Crawford had praised man who asked Democratic candidate whether he would disavow Muslim Brotherhood CBS’s chief legal correspondent Jan Crawford has apologized for and deleted a social media post praising a man who questioned… -
Man who heckled Abdul El-Sayed is former Josh Hawley aide, records showThomas Teepell, who worked for Republican senator, demanded El-Sayed disavow Muslim Brotherhood A man who heckled Democratic candidate for Senate Abdul El-Sayed and demanded he disavow the Muslim Brotherhood at a Michigan townhall is a… -
Here’s why Obama admin put Abdul El-Sayed’s sister-in-law on terror watch list as Senate hopeful claims ‘she did nothing wrong’WASHINGTON — Far-left Michigan Senate hopeful Abdul El-Sayed is insisting that his sister-in-law “did nothing wrong” amid revelations that she was supposedly placed on a terrorist watchlist by the Obama administration over a decade ago… -
Mike Rogers presses CNN's Dana Bash on why the press is 'eager' to defend Abdul El-SayedMichigan Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers accused the press of protecting his opponent, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed, on CNNs "State of the Union." Michigan Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers accused the press of being "eager" to… -
Abdul El-Sayed invokes JFK to dismiss 'crazy' questions over family's alleged ties to Muslim BrotherhoodMichigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed invoked former President John F. Kennedy while rejecting questions about his family's alleged Muslim Brotherhood ties, calling assumptions of "dual loyalties" crazy. Michigan Democratic… -
Abdul El-Sayed Clashes With Voter On Muslim Brotherhood QuestionOct 18, 2026 at 09:42 AM EDT Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed clashed with a voter who asked him to disavow the Muslim Brotherhood, prompting an extended exchange in which the progressive contender accused the man of… -
Abdul El-Sayed compares himself to JFK amid questions over alleged family Muslim Brotherhood tiesFox News Abdul El-Sayed compares himself to JFK amid questions over alleged family Muslim Brotherhood ties Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed invoked former President John F. Kennedy while rejecting questions about his… -
Raphael Warnock urges Democrats to unite behind Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan senate raceThe Georgia senator says Democrats must mobilize their full coalition behind Michigan Senate candidate Dr. Abdul El-Sayed. Sen. Raphael Warnock Raphael Warnock urges Democrats to unite behind Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan senate race The…
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8.52%median
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.61%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.77%median
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.