Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Maine Senate election: Troy Jackson vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
50.57%median
38%62%
Median 50.57%Middle half 48.68% – 52.35%
How the odds have moved
Median: 51.38% on Oct 20, 50.57% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 42% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 804 | |
| At least 44% | 97% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 800 | ||
| At least 46% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | 1.4K | ||
| At least 48% | 84% | ▼ 2 | 80¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 8.2K |
| At least 50% | 59% | ▼ 1 | 54¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 3.0K |
| At least 52% | 28% | ▼ 1 | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 1.6K |
| At least 54% | 9% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 1.2K |
| At least 56% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.1K | ||
| At least 58% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 386 | ||
| At least 60% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Maine Senate, Troy Jackson
Search ›-
Maine Senate race tied as poll shows Collins, Jackson in dead heatFox News poll reveals a statistically tied race for the Maine Senate seat between Republican Susan Collins and Democrat challenger Troy Jackson. Former Clinton advisor Doug Schoen discusses the implications for both parties. Maine Senate… -
AOC Motivates Dem Base for Troy Jackson in Maine Battleground Senate RaceOct 22, 2026 at 04:25 PM EDT U.S. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on Thursday joined Democrat Troy Jackson on the campaign trail, aiming to boost his voter support in the critical Maine U.S. Senate race. Maine's Senate battle is… -
AOC campaigns for Troy Jackson in Maine; Tafoya makes strides in MinnesotaNew York progressive Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is campaigning for Maine Democratic Senate candidate Troy Jackson. Meanwhile, the Senate race in typically blue Minnesota is tightening. CBS News' Taurean Small reports. AOC supports… -
Manchin, Ocasio-Cortez are closers in Maine Senate raceNORWAY, Maine – Susan Collins and Joe Manchin arrived right on time – Maine’s Republican senator and West Virginia’s last Democratic senator, in matching red fleece, making a cheerful Wednesday stop a New Balance factory. Collins… -
Susan Collins Touts Canada Tariff Exemptions in Tight Maine Senate RaceOct 23, 2026 at 03:21 PM EDT Republican Senator Susan Collins announced Friday that U.S. tariffs will exempt nine categories of Canadian imports used by Maine agricultural businesses after she pressed the Trump administration for relief… -
AOC campaigns for Troy Jackson in Maine and slams Susan CollinsCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. AOC campaigns for… -
Trump's tariffs loom over Maine Senate raceCNBC Trump's tariffs loom over Maine Senate race -
AOC proclaims she’s a ‘girl’s girl’ while ripping pols for caving on transgender rights, stumping for Troy Jackson in MaineWASHINGTON — Queens and Bronx Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez laced into Democrats who have caved on transgender issues, touting herself as a “girls’ girl” while stumping for Maine Senate hopeful Troy Jackson. During a town hall in Portland… -
Troy Jackson doesn’t regret telling Susan Collins to ‘shut up’ in Maine Senate debate - The Boston Globe“She said that it was a Troy supporter. She accused me of setting that up. I had no idea who it was,” said Jackson, a former president of the state Senate who is trying to deny Collins, the longest-serving Republican woman in Senate… -
Fox News Poll: Nail-biter in Maine Senate raceSen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, says she was struck by her opponent Troy Jackson’s ‘shut up’ comment on ‘Hannity.’ Maine voters are in a negative mood this election season. Only 12% say their family is better off financially compared to two… -
WATCH LIVE: Rep. AOC and Troy Jackson hold student town hall in MaineRep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez joins Maine U.S. Senate nominee Troy Jackson at a "Students vs. Billionaires" town hall in Portland to address rising tuition costs, rent prices, and corporate influence in government. WATCH LIVE: Rep. AOC and… -
AOC teams up with Maine Democratic Senate nominee Troy Jackson for town hallCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. AOC, Troy Jackson…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions