Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
Install
Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
48.93%median
38%58%
Median 48.93%Middle half 46.86% – 51.03%
How the odds have moved
Median: 49.17% on Oct 20, 48.93% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 267 | ||
| At least 42% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 753 | ||
| At least 44% | 92% | ▼ 4 | 88¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 3.1K |
| At least 46% | 84% | ▼ 5 | 79¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 886 |
| At least 48% | 63% | ▼ 4 | 59¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 1.5K |
| At least 50% | 35% | ▼ 2 | 30¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 3.3K |
| At least 52% | 16% | ▲ 5 | 13¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 9.0K |
| At least 54% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 401 | ||
| At least 56% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Maine Senate, Susan Collins
Search ›-
Susan Collins Touts Canada Tariff Exemptions in Tight Maine Senate RaceOct 23, 2026 at 03:21 PM EDT Republican Senator Susan Collins announced Friday that U.S. tariffs will exempt nine categories of Canadian imports used by Maine agricultural businesses after she pressed the Trump administration for relief… -
Susan Collins won women in 2020. How they break in 2026 could decide the Maine Senate race.The Republican senator narrowly won among women in 2020 even as they voted against Trump. This year, many are considering supporting Democrat Troy Jackson. LEWISTON, Maine — Tammy Green isn’t sure whom she’ll be supporting in Maine’s hotly… -
U.S. dropping some Canada tariffs, Susan Collins says as trade war looms over Maine Senate raceSen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, announced today that nine categories of products crucial for Maineâs agricultural industries, including blueberry, potato, apple, and seaweed producers, will be exempted from U.S. tariffs on Canada. CNBC's… -
Susan Collins Gets Trump Boost As New Poll Erases Jackson’s LeadOct 24, 2026 at 06:39 AM EDT Oct 24, 2026 at 06:44 AM EDT President Donald Trump has handed Republican Senator Susan Collins a timely economic boost in the competitive Maine Senate race, unveiling support for the state’s lobster industry… -
Maine Senate race tied as poll shows Collins, Jackson in dead heatFox News poll reveals a statistically tied race for the Maine Senate seat between Republican Susan Collins and Democrat challenger Troy Jackson. Former Clinton advisor Doug Schoen discusses the implications for both parties. Maine Senate… -
Maine voters reveal why Susan Collins could defy the polls in crucial Senate showdownMaine voters weigh in on Susan Collins' re-election bid against Troy Jackson, revealing why the longtime Republican senator's personal connections could prove decisive. Maine voters reveal why Susan Collins could defy the polls in crucial… -
Trump administration cancels some Canada tariffs, Sen. Susan Collins saysThe Trump administration has granted tariff exemptions on some Canadian products, Republican Sen. Susan Collins, who’s facing a tough re-election battle in Maine, said Friday. The move is an implicit acknowledgement that President Donald… -
Embattled Susan Collins announces exemptions for Maine from Trump Canada tariffsRepublican facing tough re-election battle in state where Trump’s trade war with neighbor has stirred outrage Susan Collins, the embattled Republican senator for Maine, announced that several industries crucial to her state would be… -
DAVID MARCUS: In blue Maine, nobody believes Susan Collins will lose until they see itMaine voters weigh in on Susan Collins' re-election bid against Troy Jackson, revealing why the longtime Republican senator's personal connections could prove decisive. There are two elements of the Senate race in Maine that truly stand… -
Trump lifts 50% tariffs on some Canadian goods in boon to Maine Sen. Susan CollinsOctober 23, 2026 / 5:32 PM EDT / CBS News President Trump on Friday slashed tariffs on a handful of Canadian products that are used widely by Maine's agricultural industry, a move cheered by Republican Sen. Susan Collins, who is facing a… -
Manchin, Ocasio-Cortez are closers in Maine Senate raceNORWAY, Maine – Susan Collins and Joe Manchin arrived right on time – Maine’s Republican senator and West Virginia’s last Democratic senator, in matching red fleece, making a cheerful Wednesday stop a New Balance factory. Collins… -
Trump's tariffs loom over Maine Senate raceCNBC Trump's tariffs loom over Maine Senate race
Related markets
All senate ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 18.13%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.51%median
36%56%
Median 44.51%Middle half 41.5% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.94% – 17.55%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.75%median
30%65%
Median 45.75%Middle half 42.74% – 48.67%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions