Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Massachusetts Senate election: John Deaton vote percent
The odds
33.77%median
24%42%
Median 33.77%Middle half 31.35% – 36.2%
How the odds have moved
Median: 34.62% on Oct 19, 33.77% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 26% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 28% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 30% | 87% | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 28.00 | |
| At least 32% | 70% | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 204 | |
| At least 34% | 48% | 43¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 201 | |
| At least 36% | 27% | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | ||
| At least 38% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 40% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Massachusetts Senate, John Deaton
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Opinion | Why John Deaton thinks you should vote for a RepublicanJohn Deaton has a theory about why Massachusetts voters should send him to the Senate, despite a Republican affiliation that makes him anathema to many of them. It might seem a little far-fetched. But hear him out. If Republicans retain… -
Massachusetts Senate Passes Bill Requiring Insurance Coverage of Cancer Screenings for FirefightersOn Thursday, Oct. 15, the Massachusetts Senate approved legislation requiring no-cost cancer screenings for eligible full-time firefighters. According to a WBUR report, the Senate approved S 3284, advancing it after… According to a WBUR… -
Senate hopeful sues his hometown Belmont paper for not writing about himBack on the ballot and running for U.S. Senate, perennial candidate Shiva Ayyadurai has taken an unorthodox approach to seeking campaign coverage in the run-up to Election Day: Suing his hometown newspaper. The Belmont resident filed a… - Belmont Senate Candidate Sues Hometown Paper Over Campaign Coverage He Says Never CameThe Belmont Voice described itself in the same letter as a nonprofit operation with a small staff and an all-volunteer board of directors, framing the suit as a costly distraction for a shoestring community outlet. The board said it had…
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Mass. midterm election 2026: Everything you need to knowAs the United States heads into November midterm elections, here’s everything Massachusetts voters will need to know to cast their ballots. Check out all of GBH News’ coverage for more information as Election Day approaches. And read up on… -
Massachusetts House passes $2.35B supplemental budget to close out FY26BOSTON (WWLP) – The Massachusetts House of Representatives passed a $2.354 billion supplemental budget Wednesday aimed at closing out the 2026 fiscal year. The bill, which passed 152-0, includes $1.524 billion in net spending and addresses… -
Several ballot questions, governor to be voted on this November in Woburn, Winchester and BurlingtonBURLINGTON/WINCHESTER/WOBURN - Voters will head to the polls on Tuesday, Nov. 3, including in Woburn, Winchester and Burlington for the state election. This weekend, Republican candidate for lieutenant governor Shawn Oliver suspended his… -
Mass. upgraded from least competitive elections in the country to second-worstby Chris Lisinski, CommonWealth Beacon October 19, 2026 FOR THE FIRST time since Barack Obama was president, Massachusetts did not land in dead last place in one assessment of electoral competitiveness. It came in second to last. Thanks to… -
Sen. Markey goes 'On the Record' about reelection bid, party leadershipMassachusetts U.S. Senator Ed Markey sat down with "On the Record" to discuss his bid for another term, Democratic leadership and immigration enforcement. The Democrat defeated a primary challenge from Congressman Seth Moulton. Markey will… -
John Deaton, Ed Markey spar in WBZ Massachusetts Senate debateCBS News John Deaton, Ed Markey spar in WBZ Massachusetts Senate debate Full Massachusetts Senate debate between John Deaton and Ed Markey on WBZ Businesses destroyed by stubborn Somerville, Massachusetts, fire Lawrence, Massachusetts… -
Full Massachusetts Senate debate between John Deaton and Ed Markey on WBZCBS News Full Massachusetts Senate debate between John Deaton and Ed Markey on WBZ Businesses destroyed by stubborn Somerville, Massachusetts, fire Lawrence, Massachusetts, mayor appears in court to face state wiretapping charges Jurors… -
Mike Kirby: One more for your voting listThe Sun Chronicle Christopher Markey, Democratic candidate for Bristol Couty district attorney 2026 Seth Aitken, Republican candidate for Bristol County district attorney 2026 If youâve been doing your homework for the upcoming election…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions