Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Illinois Senate election: Whitfield Harrington vote percent
The odds
1.69%median
0%8%
Median 1.69%Middle half 1.18% – 2.38%
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.69% on Oct 19, 1.69% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1% | 84% | 79¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 400 | |
| At least 2% | 35% | 30¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | ||
| At least 3% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 4% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 5% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 6% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 7% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Illinois Senate, Whitfield Harrington
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Trump looms in Illinois Senate debateShia Kapos' must-read rundown of political news in the Land of Lincoln 10/21/2026 08:00 AM EDT Good Wednesday morning, Illinois. Politics in this state has never been for the faint of heart. Republican Don Tracy and Democrat Juliana… -
University of Illinois Senate plans to review Flock automated license plate reader contractIPM Newsroom University of Illinois Senate plans to review Flock automated license plate reader contract Reports of police using Flock cameras to track current or former romantic partners have prompted a national backlash. Illinois has… -
Ex-con former Dem Ill. Gov. Rod Blagojevich urges America to vote Republican: ‘Democratic Party has been hijacked by socialists’Disgraced ex-con and Democratic former Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich on Sunday urged voters to cast ballots for Republicans, griping that socialists such as Zohran Mamdani have “hijacked’’ the Dem Party. Blagojevich — who was convicted of… -
Stratton Leads Tracy in Illinois Senate RaceActiVote’s October 20, 2026 Illinois U.S. Senate poll finds that Democrat Juliana Stratton leads Republican Don Tracy by 17.0%. The poll was in the field between September 26 and October 20 (median field date of October 8). The poll was… - Political newcomer challenging incumbent in state Senate District 32Bringing different perspectives to their campaigns to represent residents in western Lake County in the Illinois Senate, state Sen. Craig Wilcox, R-McHenry, and his Democratic rival, Karen Battaglia of Antioch, offer diverse ideas about…
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Crypto is making a splash in U.S. elections — but chiefly in jabs about industry influenceCrypto is finally being talked about in U.S. political campaigns, but it's certainly not in a light that the industry would choose. A number of Democratic candidates have raised crypto as a black mark to suggest improper corporate sway… -
Midterm preview: Evanston voting for new legislators in Washington and SpringfieldEvanston and other communities across Illinois are set to elect new lawmakers in the upcoming Nov. 3 midterm election, including open races for 9th Congressional District representative, 9th District state senator and one of the state’s… -
Cook County assessor favorite Patrick Hynes vows ‘stability,’ detente with appeals boardIn 2020, Patrick Hynes walked out of the Cook County assessor’s office, frustrated, he said, with then-boss Fritz Kaegi’s leadership. In March, he ousted Kaegi in the Democratic primary. In December, he expects to return to the office as… -
Illinois midterm elections: What to know about the key races — and where to voteIllinois voters will decide Nov. 3 who will replace retiring U.S. Sen. Dick Durbin and whether Gov. JB Pritzker wins a third term. Chicagoans will elect 20 members to the city’s first fully elected school board and a citywide school board… -
Election 2026: Illinois Senate 18th District Candidage Christine McGovernOAK LAWN, IL—GOP candidate Christine McGovern, of Oak Lawn, is running for an open seat in the 18th District Senate race. The 2026 Gubernatorial Election is Nov. 3. The 18th District covers all or parts of Alsip, Chicago Ridge, Evergreen… -
Stratton, Tracy clash over Trump, affordability in lone U.S. Senate forumSPRINGFIELD — Democratic Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton vowed to serve as a check on President Donald Trump while Republican Don Tracy largely defended the president’s positions in their only face-to-face meeting in the race to succeed retiring… -
Stratton, Tracy face off in only debate for Illinois US Senate seatSPRINGFIELD, Ill. (WAND) – Lt. Governor Juliana Stratton and former Illinois GOP Chair Don Tracy participated in the only debate for the US Senate race Tuesday night in Chicago. President Donald Trump’s policies played a pivotal role in…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions