Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
Install
WY-AL House election: Lisa Kinney vote percent
The odds
32.5%median
20%40%
Median 32.5%Middle half 30.23% – 34.94%
How the odds have moved
Median: 30.87% on Oct 19, 32.5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 22% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 24% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 26% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 28% | 92% | ▲ 2 | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 200 |
| At least 30% | 78% | ▲ 5 | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 200 |
| At least 32% | 56% | ▲ 6 | 51¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | |
| At least 34% | 34% | ▲ 6 | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 214 |
| At least 36% | 16% | ▲ 3 | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 26.00 |
| At least 38% | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 47.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WY-AL House, Lisa Kinney
Search ›-
Cowboy State Daily Video Newscast: October 23, 2026It’s time to take a look at what’s happening around Wyoming for Friday, October 23rd. I’m Mac Watson. This newscast is sponsored by Lisa Kinney for Congress. Lisa has, Chuck hasn’t. That’s why former Gov. Mike Sullivan has endorsed Lisa… -
‘Lisa Has, Chuck Hasn’t’: Former Wyoming Governor Delivers Stinging Rebuke in House Race“Former Governor Mike Sullivan endorsed Democrat Lisa Kinney for House on Tuesday. “It’s important Wyoming have someone dedicated to public service, who works well with people and has proven their leadership like Lisa has and Chuck… -
Can 2 former Democratic state lawmakers take Wyoming’s bipartisan message to Washington?James Byrd and Lisa Kinney each spent a decade serving in the Wyoming Legislature and working alongside Republicans. Now, the two former Democratic lawmakers are hoping to bring that experience to the federal level: Byrd is running for the… -
Barrasso, Hageman, And Lummis Endorse Chuck Gray And Eric BarlowWyoming congressional delegates Barrasso, Lummis and Hageman bridged the vast differences between Chuck Gray and Eric Barlow on Wednesday, to endorse them both. Gray is an early founder of the Wyoming Freedom Caucus, while Barlow has never… -
Wyoming deserves better in D.C. than another rubber-stamp conservativeWyomingNews.com - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) A vote for Chuck Gray is a vote for more wars, more tariffs and higher prices. A vote for Lisa Kinney is a vote for Wyoming. We deserve better… -
Democratic candidates tout their bipartisanship at Powell eventDemocratic candidate for U.S. Senate James Byrd talks during a candidate forum hosted by the League of Women Voters of Wyoming at Casper College on Wednesday, July 8, 2026. POWELL — James Byrd and Lisa Kinney each spent a decade serving in… -
Who showed up for Wyoming’s US House debate and key takeawaysby Mike Koshmrl, WyoFile For those familiar with Wyoming political history, it might seem like a foregone conclusion that voters are poised to elect Republican nominee Chuck Gray to be the state’s next at-large representative in the U.S… -
Democratic candidates tout their bipartisanshipJames Byrd and Lisa Kinney each spent a decade serving in the Wyoming Legislature and working alongside Republicans. Now, the two former Democratic lawmakers are hoping to bring that experience to the federal level: Byrd is running for the… -
U.S. House candidates talk priorities; superintendent finalists debate role of AI, recalibrationFrom left, Democratic U.S. House of Representative candidate Lisa Kinney, Constitution Party candidate Jeff Haggit and Libertarian candidate Shawn Johnson participate in the Wyoming PBS U.S. House of Representative debate Thursday night at… -
National Election Analysts Say Wyoming House Race Isn't A Slam Dunk For GOPAlthough Wyoming has sent only Republicans to the U.S. House for 50 years, a national nonpartisan analysis group says the GOP lock on the state is no longer a certainty. Inside Elections has moved the race from "Solid Republican" To… -
Letter To The Editor: I'm A Lifelong Republican And I Support Kinney And ByrdDear editor: When I vote on November 3 as a lifelong Republican, veteran, and retiree I am voting for Democrats James Byrd for the Senate, and Lisa Kinney for the House. These two are traditional Wyoming Democrats like former Governor Dave…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 17.96%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
45.8%median
36%56%
Median 45.8%Middle half 43.1% – 48.62%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.55%median
0%16%
Median 10.55%Middle half 8.3% – 13.35%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.67%median
7%40%
Median 13.67%Middle half 10.39% – 17.39%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.26%median
30%65%
Median 45.26%Middle half 41.89% – 48.14%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions