Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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WA-10 House election: Marilyn Strickland vote percent
The odds
63.45%median
54%74%
Median 63.45%Middle half 60.76% – 66.07%
How the odds have moved
Median: 62.55% on Oct 19, 63.45% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 58% | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 60% | 82% | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | ||
| At least 62% | 65% | 60¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | ||
| At least 64% | 45% | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | ||
| At least 66% | 26% | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | ||
| At least 68% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 70% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| At least 72% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WA- House, Marilyn Strickland
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Thompson, Colleagues Introduce Bipartisan Legislation to Support Small Breweries and Local Farmers, Strengthen Local Supply ChainsHouse.gov Thompson, Colleagues Introduce Bipartisan Legislation to Support Small Breweries and Local Farmers, Strengthen Local Supply Chains U.S. Representative Glenn “GT” Thompson (R-Pa.) joined colleagues to introduce the bipartisan… -
In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s businessWASHINGTON, D.C. â John Braun often points to his credentials as the president of his family's manufacturing company in his campaign to unseat U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez. Javascript is required to use this website. Washington… -
Coupang spends $3.6m lobbying Washington as midterms approachBusiness Coupang spends $3.6m lobbying Washington as midterms approach Published : Oct. 23, 2026 - 15:16:23 My reporting finds form wherever the 'K-' prefix grafts onto food, beauty and fashion E-commerce giant Coupang spent about $3.6… -
Brews to Barns Is in the HouseThe Brewers Association applauds today’s introduction of the Brews to Barns Act in the U.S. House of Representatives by Reps. Mike Kelly (R-PA), Brad Schneider (D-IL), Jeff Hurd (R-CO), John Larson (D-CT), Josh Riley (D-NY), Marilyn… - In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business - The Seattle TimesIn tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business The Seattle Times
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Jayapal, Randall Lead PNW Members in Demanding Answers on NWDC ContractAny attempt to dodge oversight is particularly troubling at the NWDC, as Washington State recently had to go to court to ensure access to the facility for state Department of Health officials. There is serious cause for concern if this…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions