Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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WA-04 House election: John Duresky vote percent
The odds
44.05%median
34%52%
Median 44.05%Middle half 41.13% – 46.87%
How the odds have moved
Median: 43.17% on Oct 19, 44.05% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 36% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 38% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 40% | 84% | 79¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | ||
| At least 42% | 69% | 64¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | ||
| At least 44% | 51% | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | ||
| At least 46% | 32% | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | ||
| At least 48% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| At least 50% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WA- House, John Duresky
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Interview: Congressional candidate John DureskyBoth sides of Initiative 638, a widely debated issue tackling transgender athletes, were explained this week on TVW. Read moreExplainer: Initiative 638 regarding transgender participation in K-12 sports John Duresky, candidate to replace… -
Explainer: Initiative 638 regarding transgender participation in K-12 sportsBoth sides of Initiative 638, a widely debated issue tackling transgender athletes, were explained this week on TVW. Read moreExplainer: Initiative 638 regarding transgender participation in K-12 sports John Duresky, candidate to replace… -
NWCLIFE Sportscast with Nathan Eshelman | October 23, 2026Both sides of Initiative 638, a widely debated issue tackling transgender athletes, were explained this week on TVW. Read moreExplainer: Initiative 638 regarding transgender participation in K-12 sports Eastmont School District is… -
Wenatchee Panthers reflect on their football journey before Senior NightBoth sides of Initiative 638, a widely debated issue tackling transgender athletes, were explained this week on TVW. Read moreExplainer: Initiative 638 regarding transgender participation in K-12 sports Eastmont School District is… -
In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s businessWASHINGTON, D.C. â John Braun often points to his credentials as the president of his family's manufacturing company in his campaign to unseat U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez. Javascript is required to use this website. Washington… -
Still undecided? 7 things to know about Central WA candidates for CongressTri-City Herald Republican Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky are vying to replace retiring U.S. Rep. Dan Newhouse in Washington’s 4th Congressional District, with the general election set for Nov. 3. The two candidates have clashed… - In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business - The Seattle TimesIn tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business The Seattle Times
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John Duresky and Amanda McKinney share their thoughts on data centersDemocrat John Duresky and Republican Amanda McKinney are running for Congress in the 4th Congressional District. Across Central Washington, leaders are facing questions about the role data centers should play in their communities. Fourth… -
Your Voice, Your Vote: live NCW election forumTwo Republicans are on the ballot for Chelan County auditor: incumbent Brandt Cappell and retired Wenatchee Valley Fire Department Chief Brian Brett. Read moreChelan County auditor candidates focus on elections, finances, accountability… -
Yakima Herald-Republic voting guideA vote sign sits in front of Yakima County Courthouse Tuesday, Aug. 4, 2026, in Yakima, Wash. Voting is underway in Yakima County. The deadline to turn in your ballot is 8 p.m. Nov. 3, but don’t wait until the last minute. If you haven’t… -
Yakima voters weigh competing views on income tax repealYakima County voters will decide who represents Central Washington in Congress and weigh three statewide initiatives addressing income taxes, parental rights in public schools and eligibility for girls' school sports in the Nov. 3 general… -
YH-R Opinion: 4th District congressional race hinges on valuesDemocrat John Duresky and Republican Amanda McKinney — shown here during their Sept. 30 debate in Richland — are competing for the 4th Congressional District seat being vacated by Republican Rep. Dan Newhouse of Sunnyside. Perhaps even…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions