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WA-04 House election: Amanda McKinney vote percent
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.97% on Oct 20, 56.16% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 90% | 88¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | ||
| At least 52% | 85% | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | ||
| At least 54% | 70% | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | ||
| At least 56% | 52% | 47¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | ||
| At least 58% | 33% | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 200 | |
| At least 60% | 18% | 13¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | ||
| At least 62% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 64% | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WA- House, Amanda McKinney
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In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s businessWASHINGTON, D.C. â John Braun often points to his credentials as the president of his family's manufacturing company in his campaign to unseat U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez. Javascript is required to use this website. Washington… -
Still undecided? 7 things to know about Central WA candidates for CongressTri-City Herald Republican Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky are vying to replace retiring U.S. Rep. Dan Newhouse in Washington’s 4th Congressional District, with the general election set for Nov. 3. The two candidates have clashed… - In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business - The Seattle TimesIn tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business The Seattle Times
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John Duresky and Amanda McKinney share their thoughts on data centersDemocrat John Duresky and Republican Amanda McKinney are running for Congress in the 4th Congressional District. Across Central Washington, leaders are facing questions about the role data centers should play in their communities. Fourth… -
Your Voice, Your Vote: Callan Martinez, Douglas County prosecuting attorney candidateThirteen candidates from seven races are participating in a live election forum hosted by NCWLIFE and The Wenatchee World. Read moreYour Voice, Your Vote: live NCW election forum Two Republicans are on the ballot for Chelan County auditor… -
Your Voice, Your Vote: Maggie Adams, District 12, representative position 2 candidateThirteen candidates from seven races are participating in a live election forum hosted by NCWLIFE and The Wenatchee World. Read moreYour Voice, Your Vote: live NCW election forum Two Republicans are on the ballot for Chelan County auditor… - OpenAI president urges AI safeguards as group he funds opposes regulationWASHINGTON, Oct 21 : As OpenAI executives step up their public calls for federal AI safety rules, a political group the company’s president helped fund is spending millions to elect members of Congress who oppose restrictions on the…
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Your Voice, Your Vote: live NCW election forumTwo Republicans are on the ballot for Chelan County auditor: incumbent Brandt Cappell and retired Wenatchee Valley Fire Department Chief Brian Brett. Read moreChelan County auditor candidates focus on elections, finances, accountability… -
Yakima Herald-Republic voting guideA vote sign sits in front of Yakima County Courthouse Tuesday, Aug. 4, 2026, in Yakima, Wash. Voting is underway in Yakima County. The deadline to turn in your ballot is 8 p.m. Nov. 3, but don’t wait until the last minute. If you haven’t… -
Yakima voters weigh competing views on income tax repealYakima County voters will decide who represents Central Washington in Congress and weigh three statewide initiatives addressing income taxes, parental rights in public schools and eligibility for girls' school sports in the Nov. 3 general… -
Eastmont High journalism students cover the sounds of the school choirA fire started around 7 p.m. Friday, Oct. 16, at Kirby Billingsley Hydro Park in East Wenatchee. Read moreHuman-caused fire in Kirby Billingsley Hydro Park burns tree Within a few years, new hiking trails will be accessible in the Lookout… -
YH-R Opinion: 4th District congressional race hinges on valuesDemocrat John Duresky and Republican Amanda McKinney — shown here during their Sept. 30 debate in Richland — are competing for the 4th Congressional District seat being vacated by Republican Rep. Dan Newhouse of Sunnyside. Perhaps even…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions