Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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VT-AL House election: Becca Balint vote percent
The odds
66.75%median
60%80%
Median 66.75%Middle half 64.29% – 69.56%
How the odds have moved
Median: 66.74% on Oct 19, 66.75% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 62% | 91% | 86¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 64% | 78% | 73¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 200 | |
| At least 66% | 57% | 53¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 609 | |
| At least 68% | 38% | ▲ 1 | 33¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 400 |
| At least 70% | 22% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 400 |
| At least 72% | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | |
| At least 74% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 76% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 78% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VT-AL House, Becca Balint
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Canada Denies US Claim of Midterm MeddlingCanada says it is not meddling in the US midterm elections, after the US Embassy in Ottawa accused Canadian politicians of trying to sway them. The row matters to American readers because it could make tariff talks with their largest… -
Rep. Becca Balint Eyes Top Position on the House Antitrust SubcommitteeWe’re in the last stretch of our fall fundraising drive, and we’re still short of our goal. In an era of media consolidation into the hands of billionaires and corporate owners, we remain independent. Can you chip in today? Rep. Becca… - Candidates for Vermont governor prepare for debate as Election Day nearsVermont's gubernatorial candidates, Phil Scott and Amanda Janoo, are focusing on messaging and policy priorities ahead of a debate hosted by NBC5, with Election Day less than two weeks away. Vermont's gubernatorial candidates, Republican…
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Congressional Antitrust Report Highlights Live Nation Settlement in Criticism of Trump DOJHome » Congressional Antitrust Report Highlights Live Nation Settlement in Criticism of Trump DOJ A new congressional report led by Sen. Elizabeth Warren and joined by Sen. Richard Blumenthal and four other Democratic lawmakers singles out… -
Democrats Shouldn’t Let Jay Carney Bring Back The Obama-Era Tech FriendshipBlog Post | October 21, 2026 This newsletter was originally published on our Substack. Read and subscribe here. Rep. Becca Balint Eyes Top Position on the House Antitrust Subcommittee Khanna Says Trump’s Letting Wall Street Jack Up Gas… -
AI Political Ads Are Proliferating in Vermont, but Are Clearly FakesOne advertisement draws inspiration from Austin Powers, portraying U.S. Rep. Becca Balint (D-Vt.) as Dr. Evil and Molly Gray, a Democrat running for lieutenant governor, as Mini-Me. Another video, based on Indiana Jones and the Temple of… -
Town, fire department preparing for new Pownal Center firehouse project vote in MarchPOWNAL – Preparation for a March town meeting vote on a new Pownal Center firehouse project is continuing, and the Select Board will likely receive an update Thursday from planner Nick Zaiac, who is expected to provide technical… -
Shorts: $3.7 mil in state tax credits awarded to downtowns, village centers/ Balint mailed suspicious substanceThe Agency of Commerce and Community Development has announced just over $3.7 million in tax credit funding for 41 rehabilitation and revitalization projects in 31 of Vermont’s designated downtown and village centers. State officials say… -
Becca Balint, committee members make surprise visit to Massachusetts ICE facilityVermont Congresswoman Becca Balint and several other Congressmembers made a surprise visit to New England's larges regional Immigration and Customs Enforcement facility on Friday. (In October 16 item, corrects speaker in paragraphs 4 and 8… -
‘People can’t wait anymore’: Will ‘No Kings’ FUEL midterm votes against Trump’s ‘out of touch’ GOP?With thousands of “No Kings” events taking place with a focus of getting people to vote early, Democrats are trying to turn the energy from the movement into votes in the midterms. Democratic Rep. Becca Balint joins The Weekend to discuss… -
Balint makes surprise visit to ICE facility in MassachusettsBURLINGTON, Mass. (WCAX) - U.S. Rep. Becca Balint of Vermont carried out a surprise inspection at an ICE processing facility in Burlington, Massachusetts, on Thursday night. Balint says it’s the largest facility in New England, and many… -
Vermont Congressional candidates trade barbs during televised debateThe candidates running for Vermont’s sole congressional seat traded barbs during a debate Thursday evening on WCAX-TV. The hour-long debate tackled a number of issues, including the war in Iran, gas prices, immigration and tariffs. While…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions