Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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VA-09 House election: Joy Powers vote percent
The odds
32.43%median
22%42%
Median 32.43%Middle half 30.05% – 35%
How the odds have moved
Median: 31.92% on Oct 19, 32.43% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 24% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 200 | |
| At least 26% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 400 | |
| At least 28% | 91% | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | ||
| At least 30% | 76% | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | ||
| At least 32% | 55% | ▼ 1 | 50¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | |
| At least 34% | 34% | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 12.00 | |
| At least 36% | 17% | ▼ 1 | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | |
| At least 38% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 40% | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Joy Powers
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'Swing State of the Union' podcast digs deep on issues weighing on Wisconsin votersNPR's Sacha Pfeiffer speaks with Sam Woods and Joy Powers, hosts of WUWM's Swing State of the Union podcast, about the top issues for voters in the swing state of Wisconsin. 'Swing State of the Union' podcast digs deep on issues weighing… -
Congressional candidate Joy Powers pitches progressive agenda in ChristiansburgCHRISTIANSBURG — Ninth Congressional District Democratic candidate Joy Powers told Montgomery County residents Tuesday night that she opposes data centers and the current Israeli government and supports universal health care, drawing a… -
Democratic Enthusiasm on the Rise in VA09by Freeda Cathcart, Founder of Indivisible Virginia Fast forward to 2026, and Rep. Morgan Griffith (R-VA09) has been a failure in terms of representing his district, and is floundering in this election. Regarding Griffith’s failure to… -
Episode 5: Profits over patientsJoy Powers: This is Swing State of the Union — a podcast all about Wisconsin and why it’s so important to U.S. politics. I'm Joy Powers. Sam Woods: And I'm Sam Woods. Thank you so much for joining us. We are weeks away from the Nov. 3… -
This is what Daily Kos is forYes, this – electing more and better Democrats! We have a chance to help a Democrat right now. Many here know of her, much has been written about her. I’ve linked to just some of the pieces by several authors. The D Party blocked Jasmine… -
Two weeks out, fundraising highlights contrasts across Virginia House and Senate contestsVa. (WSET) — With Election Day two weeks away, Democratic challengers Tom Perriello and Beth Macy have raised more than their Republican opponents in two Virginia congressional races, while longtime incumbents hold much larger fundraising… -
Lack of formal debates between local congressional candidates continues as Griffith declines 9th district forum inviteROANOKE, Va. (WFXR) -- Democratic challenger Joy Powers was the only 9th district congressional candidate at a Republican-organized forum in Wytheville Monday night, after incumbent Republican Rep. Morgan Griffith declined the invitation… -
W. Va. House of Del. incumbent Mallow to defend seat against LongstrethThe 2026 General Election will take place on Nov. 3. Early voting begins Oct. 21. Editor’s Note: The following is a part of a series of profiles on candidates running in the General Election being held Nov. 3. FAIRMONT, W.Va. — Republican… - Virginia Ninth District congressional candidatesKingsport Times News Virginia Ninth District congressional candidates Joy Powers â Democratic candidateAge: 34Profession: Farmer and Small Business OwnerPrevious experience in elected office: No previousexperience in elected office H…
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Virginia’s 9th District could reveal GOP’s continued strength with rural votersRepublican Congressman Morgan Griffith has served in Virginia’s 9th District since 2011. His district includes Southwest Virginia, an area that’s been a reliable win for Republicans and for Donald Trump for over a decade. The Democrat… -
Warner, Powers campaign at Smith Mountain LakeSmith Mountain Eagle Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA) (front row center) and Virginia ninth-district congressional candidate Joy Powers (front row second from left) during their stop at the SML Democrats' office in Moneta. Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA)…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions