Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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VA-08 House election: Tony Sabio vote percent
The odds
21.39%median
6%32%
Median 21.39%Middle half 18.44% – 24.75%
How the odds have moved
Median: 21.08% on Oct 20, 21.39% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 8% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 10% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 12% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 14% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 105 | |
| At least 16% | 91% | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 92.00 | |
| At least 18% | 79% | 74¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 1.6K | |
| At least 20% | 63% | 58¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 484 | |
| At least 22% | 45% | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | 199 | |
| At least 24% | 30% | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | ||
| At least 26% | 18% | 13¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 2.2K | |
| At least 28% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 2.2K | |
| At least 30% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 200 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Tony Sabio
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This is what Daily Kos is forYes, this – electing more and better Democrats! We have a chance to help a Democrat right now. Many here know of her, much has been written about her. I’ve linked to just some of the pieces by several authors. The D Party blocked Jasmine… -
W. Va. House of Del. incumbent Mallow to defend seat against LongstrethThe 2026 General Election will take place on Nov. 3. Early voting begins Oct. 21. Editor’s Note: The following is a part of a series of profiles on candidates running in the General Election being held Nov. 3. FAIRMONT, W.Va. — Republican… -
Arlington LGBTQ+ Group Releases Congressional Candidate GradesARLINGTON, VA — An Arlington LGBTQ+ advocacy group gave Democratic Rep. Don Beyer an A and his three opponents failing grades in Virginia's 8th Congressional District race, although two candidates received F grades because they did not… -
Voter Guide For Alexandria: What's On The Ballot, Voting & MoreALEXANDRIA, VA — Alexandria voters will choose their representatives for the U.S. House and Senate in the Nov. 3 general election and decide on three proposed amendments to the Virginia Constitution. The statewide deadline to request a… -
Voter Guide For Fairfax County: What's On The Ballot, Early Voting & MoreFAIRFAX COUNTY, VA — In the Nov. 3 general election, Fairfax County voters will decide who will represent them on Capitol Hill, whether to approve two local bonds, and whether to amend the Virginia Constitution. The statewide deadline to… -
Voter Guide For McLean: What's On The Ballot, Early Voting & MoreMCLEAN, VA — On Nov. 3, McLean voters will choose their representative on Capitol Hill, approve two local bonds, and decide whether to amend the Virginia Constitution. In the Aug. 4 Republican Primary, Bert Mizusawa was declared the GOP's… -
Voter Guide For Arlington: What's On The Ballot, Early Voting & MoreARLINGTON, VA — On Nov. 3, Arlington voters will choose a new county treasurer, school board, and an at-large member of the county board. They will also choose who will be representing them on Capitol Hill. In the U.S. House of… -
West Po What’s on Your Ballot?Early in-person voting for the upcoming Nov. 3, 2026 midterm elections began on Sept. 18, at Fairfax County Government Center and Mt. Vernon Governmental Center. 13 more early voting locations will open Oct. 22. The polls are open at the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions